000 FOPZ12 KNHC 250238 PWSEP2 TROPICAL STORM DALILA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 13 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP072007 0300 UTC WED JUL 25 2007 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM DALILA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 110.6 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 50 KTS...60 MPH...95 KM/HR. CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT CABO SAN LUCAS 34 X 1( 1) 3( 4) 1( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) SAN JOSE CABO 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) LA PAZ 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) ISLA SOCORRO 34 74 17(91) 2(93) X(93) X(93) X(93) X(93) ISLA SOCORRO 50 19 14(33) 1(34) X(34) X(34) X(34) X(34) ISLA SOCORRO 64 2 2( 4) X( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) ISLA CLARION 34 X 1( 1) 3( 4) 4( 8) 3(11) X(11) X(11) - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - HR POSITIONS KT 12 191N 1109W 34 56 30(86) 2(88) 1(89) X(89) X(89) X(89) 12 191N 1109W 50 16 20(36) 1(37) 1(38) X(38) X(38) X(38) 12 191N 1109W 64 3 3( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) 24 200N 1117W 34 3 54(57) 13(70) 3(73) 1(74) X(74) X(74) 24 200N 1117W 50 X 18(18) 9(27) 1(28) 1(29) X(29) X(29) 24 200N 1117W 64 X 4( 4) 3( 7) X( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) 36 207N 1126W 34 X 20(20) 30(50) 10(60) 4(64) X(64) X(64) 36 207N 1126W 50 X 4( 4) 14(18) 4(22) 1(23) X(23) X(23) 36 207N 1126W 64 X 1( 1) 4( 5) 2( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) 48 214N 1139W 34 X 3( 3) 19(22) 18(40) 8(48) X(48) 1(49) 48 214N 1139W 50 X X( X) 4( 4) 7(11) 4(15) X(15) X(15) 48 214N 1139W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) 72 225N 1170W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 15(19) 3(22) X(22) 72 225N 1170W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) 72 225N 1170W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 96 230N 1200W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 3( 8) X( 8) 96 230N 1200W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 96 230N 1200W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 120 235N 1230W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) 120 235N 1230W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 120 235N 1230W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - - FCST MAX WIND 55 60 60 55 45 30 25 FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) $$ FORECASTER FRANKLIN