000 FOPZ12 KNHC 241452 PWSEP2 TROPICAL STORM DALILA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 11 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP072007 ISSUED BY THE HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER CAMP SPRINGS MD 1500 UTC TUE JUL 24 2007 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM DALILA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 110.6 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 40 KTS...45 MPH...75 KM/HR. CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT CABO SAN LUCAS 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) SAN JOSE CABO 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) ISLA SOCORRO 34 1 21(22) 8(30) 2(32) 3(35) X(35) X(35) ISLA SOCORRO 50 1 4( 5) 3( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) ISLA CLARION 34 X 1( 1) 8( 9) 8(17) 5(22) X(22) X(22) ISLA CLARION 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - HR POSITIONS KT 12 175N 1112W 34 41 33(74) 3(77) X(77) 1(78) X(78) X(78) 12 175N 1112W 50 9 11(20) 1(21) 1(22) X(22) X(22) X(22) 12 175N 1112W 64 1 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 24 185N 1119W 34 1 44(45) 15(60) 3(63) 1(64) X(64) X(64) 24 185N 1119W 50 X 15(15) 6(21) 1(22) X(22) X(22) X(22) 24 185N 1119W 64 X 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) 36 193N 1128W 34 X 13(13) 28(41) 10(51) 4(55) 1(56) X(56) 36 193N 1128W 50 X 3( 3) 9(12) 4(16) 1(17) X(17) X(17) 36 193N 1128W 64 X X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) 48 201N 1138W 34 X 2( 2) 17(19) 14(33) 9(42) 1(43) X(43) 48 201N 1138W 50 X X( X) 3( 3) 7(10) 2(12) 1(13) X(13) 48 201N 1138W 64 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) 72 216N 1164W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 16(21) 2(23) 1(24) 72 216N 1164W 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) 72 216N 1164W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 96 225N 1193W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 4( 9) 1(10) 96 225N 1193W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 96 225N 1193W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 120 233N 1220W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5) 120 233N 1220W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 120 233N 1220W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - - FCST MAX WIND 45 50 50 50 45 30 20 FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) $$ FORECASTER BANN