000 FOPZ12 KNHC 240843 PWSEP2 TROPICAL STORM DALILA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 10 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP072007 0900 UTC TUE JUL 24 2007 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM DALILA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 109.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 40 KTS...45 MPH...75 KM/HR. CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT CABO SAN LUCAS 34 X 1( 1) X( 1) 2( 3) 3( 6) X( 6) X( 6) SAN JOSE CABO 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) 1( 6) LA PAZ 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) ISLA SOCORRO 34 X 33(33) 20(53) 4(57) 2(59) X(59) X(59) ISLA SOCORRO 50 X 7( 7) 8(15) 1(16) 1(17) X(17) X(17) ISLA SOCORRO 64 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) ISLA CLARION 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) 5(11) 1(12) X(12) - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - HR POSITIONS KT 12 176N 1102W 34 31 35(66) 3(69) 1(70) X(70) X(70) X(70) 12 176N 1102W 50 5 5(10) 2(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) 12 176N 1102W 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 24 187N 1108W 34 1 36(37) 18(55) 3(58) 2(60) X(60) X(60) 24 187N 1108W 50 X 8( 8) 6(14) 1(15) 1(16) X(16) X(16) 24 187N 1108W 64 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 36 196N 1116W 34 X 9( 9) 31(40) 10(50) 4(54) X(54) X(54) 36 196N 1116W 50 X 1( 1) 10(11) 4(15) 1(16) X(16) X(16) 36 196N 1116W 64 X X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) 48 204N 1126W 34 X 2( 2) 16(18) 15(33) 9(42) 1(43) X(43) 48 204N 1126W 50 X X( X) 3( 3) 7(10) 3(13) X(13) X(13) 48 204N 1126W 64 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 72 220N 1150W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 15(20) 3(23) X(23) 72 220N 1150W 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) 72 220N 1150W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) 96 230N 1175W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 3(10) 1(11) 96 230N 1175W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 96 230N 1175W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 120 240N 1205W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) 120 240N 1205W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 120 240N 1205W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - - FCST MAX WIND 40 45 50 50 45 30 20 FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) $$ FORECASTER RHOME