000 FOPZ12 KNHC 230847 PWSEP2 TROPICAL STORM DALILA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 6 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP072007 0900 UTC MON JUL 23 2007 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM DALILA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 108.6 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/HR. CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT CABO SAN LUCAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) SAN JOSE CABO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) ISLA SOCORRO 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 7( 9) 16(25) 4(29) X(29) ISLA SOCORRO 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 2( 7) X( 7) ISLA CLARION 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 19(21) 11(32) 2(34) ISLA CLARION 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 2( 7) 1( 8) - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - HR POSITIONS KT 12 141N 1092W 34 36 19(55) 3(58) 3(61) 1(62) X(62) X(62) 12 141N 1092W 50 5 2( 7) 2( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) 12 141N 1092W 64 1 X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 24 148N 1100W 34 2 28(30) 13(43) 5(48) 3(51) X(51) X(51) 24 148N 1100W 50 X 5( 5) 4( 9) 1(10) 2(12) X(12) X(12) 24 148N 1100W 64 X 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 36 156N 1107W 34 X 7( 7) 21(28) 14(42) 7(49) 1(50) X(50) 36 156N 1107W 50 X 1( 1) 6( 7) 5(12) 3(15) X(15) X(15) 36 156N 1107W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) 48 165N 1114W 34 X 1( 1) 14(15) 18(33) 14(47) 2(49) X(49) 48 165N 1114W 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 8(10) 6(16) 1(17) X(17) 48 165N 1114W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 3( 6) X( 6) X( 6) 72 185N 1135W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 25(31) 9(40) 2(42) 72 185N 1135W 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) 3(12) X(12) 72 185N 1135W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) 96 205N 1165W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 13(19) 4(23) 96 205N 1165W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 1( 6) 96 205N 1165W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 120 225N 1200W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 4( 9) 120 225N 1200W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 120 225N 1200W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - - FCST MAX WIND 40 40 45 55 60 55 45 FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) $$ FORECASTER MAINELLI