000 FOPZ12 KNHC 221431 PWSEP2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVEN-E WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 3 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP072007 1500 UTC SUN JUL 22 2007 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVEN-E WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 12.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 105.9 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/HR. CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT CABO SAN LUCAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) SAN JOSE CABO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) LA PAZ 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) ISLA SOCORRO 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 7( 9) 10(19) 3(22) ISLA SOCORRO 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 1( 5) ISLA CLARION 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 9(13) 3(16) ISLA CLARION 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) CLIPPERTON IS 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - HR POSITIONS KT 12 132N 1072W 34 16 12(28) 2(30) 2(32) 2(34) X(34) X(34) 12 132N 1072W 50 1 1( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 12 132N 1072W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 24 137N 1086W 34 1 23(24) 11(35) 4(39) 2(41) 1(42) 1(43) 24 137N 1086W 50 X 3( 3) 3( 6) 1( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) 24 137N 1086W 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 36 140N 1097W 34 X 10(10) 19(29) 8(37) 4(41) 2(43) 2(45) 36 140N 1097W 50 X 1( 1) 5( 6) 3( 9) 2(11) X(11) 1(12) 36 140N 1097W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 48 146N 1105W 34 X 3( 3) 14(17) 13(30) 10(40) 3(43) 1(44) 48 146N 1105W 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) 3(10) 1(11) 1(12) 48 146N 1105W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 72 160N 1115W 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 10(13) 15(28) 8(36) 2(38) 72 160N 1115W 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) 2( 9) X( 9) 72 160N 1115W 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) 96 185N 1130W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) 12(20) 3(23) 96 185N 1130W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 2( 6) 96 185N 1130W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 120 205N 1155W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 5(12) 120 205N 1155W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 120 205N 1155W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - - FCST MAX WIND 30 35 40 45 50 55 50 FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) $$ FORECASTER BEVEN