000 FOPZ12 KNHC 220232 PWSEP2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVEN-E WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 1 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP072007 0300 UTC SUN JUL 22 2007 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVEN-E WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 12.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 105.2 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 25 KTS...30 MPH...45 KM/HR. CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT ISLA SOCORRO 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 6( 8) 4(12) 1(13) ISLA CLARION 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 5( 9) 3(12) CLIPPERTON IS 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 3( 5) X( 5) X( 5) - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - HR POSITIONS KT 12 135N 1071W 34 12 12(24) 2(26) 1(27) 2(29) X(29) X(29) 12 135N 1071W 50 1 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 12 135N 1071W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 24 140N 1086W 34 1 23(24) 11(35) 4(39) 3(42) 1(43) X(43) 24 140N 1086W 50 X 3( 3) 3( 6) 1( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) 24 140N 1086W 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 36 143N 1098W 34 X 9( 9) 20(29) 8(37) 5(42) 1(43) X(43) 36 143N 1098W 50 X X( X) 6( 6) 3( 9) 2(11) X(11) X(11) 36 143N 1098W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 48 145N 1110W 34 X 2( 2) 13(15) 13(28) 10(38) 3(41) 1(42) 48 145N 1110W 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) 2( 9) 1(10) X(10) 48 145N 1110W 64 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 72 155N 1120W 34 X 1( 1) 3( 4) 13(17) 13(30) 5(35) 1(36) 72 155N 1120W 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) 72 155N 1120W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 96 170N 1130W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 11(16) 5(21) 2(23) 96 170N 1130W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) 96 170N 1130W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 120 190N 1150W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 4( 7) 3(10) 120 190N 1150W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 120 190N 1150W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - - FCST MAX WIND 30 35 40 45 50 45 40 FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) $$ FORECASTER AVILA