000 FOPZ12 KNHC 011452 PWSEP2 TROPICAL STORM BARBARA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 12 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP022007 1500 UTC FRI JUN 01 2007 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM BARBARA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 94.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 40 KTS...45 MPH...75 KM/HR. CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT P ANGEL 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) HUATULCO 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) SALINA CRUZ 34 X 2( 2) 4( 6) 4(10) 4(14) X(14) X(14) TAPACHULA 34 X 9( 9) 10(19) 5(24) 3(27) X(27) X(27) TAPACHULA 50 X 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) P SAN JOSE 34 X 2( 2) 2( 4) 2( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - HR POSITIONS KT 12 133N 939W 34 60 9(69) 2(71) 1(72) X(72) X(72) X(72) 12 133N 939W 50 7 5(12) 1(13) X(13) 1(14) X(14) X(14) 12 133N 939W 64 1 X( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 24 139N 935W 34 16 29(45) 7(52) 2(54) 1(55) X(55) X(55) 24 139N 935W 50 1 9(10) 2(12) 1(13) 1(14) X(14) X(14) 24 139N 935W 64 X 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 36 146N 933W 34 1 21(22) 13(35) 5(40) 2(42) X(42) X(42) 36 146N 933W 50 X 4( 4) 5( 9) 1(10) 2(12) X(12) X(12) 36 146N 933W 64 X 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 48 154N 932W 34 X 7( 7) 11(18) 6(24) 4(28) X(28) X(28) 48 154N 932W 50 X X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) 48 154N 932W 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 72 166N 933W 34 X 1( 1) 3( 4) 3( 7) 5(12) X(12) X(12) 72 166N 933W 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 72 166N 933W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - - FCST MAX WIND 45 50 50 50 25 0 0 FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) $$ FORECASTER BROWN/AVILA