000 FOPZ12 KNHC 010231 PWSEP2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION BARBARA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 10 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP022007 0300 UTC FRI JUN 01 2007 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION BARBARA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 12.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 95.2 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/HR. CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT ACAPULCO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) P MALDONADO 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5) P ANGEL 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 5( 8) 3(11) 2(13) HUATULCO 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 6( 9) 3(12) 1(13) SALINA CRUZ 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 5(11) 1(12) 2(14) TAPACHULA 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) 4(10) 1(11) 1(12) P SAN JOSE 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 3( 5) X( 5) 1( 6) - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - HR POSITIONS KT 12 129N 948W 34 14 6(20) 3(23) 2(25) 3(28) 1(29) 1(30) 12 129N 948W 50 1 1( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) 12 129N 948W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 24 130N 940W 34 5 8(13) 4(17) 4(21) 5(26) 1(27) 1(28) 24 130N 940W 50 X 2( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) 24 130N 940W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 36 140N 940W 34 1 5( 6) 7(13) 5(18) 5(23) 2(25) X(25) 36 140N 940W 50 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) 36 140N 940W 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 48 150N 940W 34 X 1( 1) 6( 7) 7(14) 6(20) 2(22) 2(24) 48 150N 940W 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) 48 150N 940W 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 72 155N 950W 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 5( 8) 6(14) 3(17) 1(18) 72 155N 950W 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) 72 155N 950W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 96 160N 960W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 6( 9) 2(11) 2(13) 96 160N 960W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 96 160N 960W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 120 163N 970W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 2( 7) 1( 8) 120 163N 970W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 120 163N 970W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - - FCST MAX WIND 30 30 30 35 45 25 20 FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) $$ FORECASTER AVILA