000 FOPZ12 KNHC 311457 PWSEP2 TROPICAL STORM BARBARA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 8 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP022007 1500 UTC THU MAY 31 2007 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM BARBARA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 95.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/HR. CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT L CARDENAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) ZIHUATANEJO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) ACAPULCO 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 3( 5) 1( 6) P MALDONADO 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 3( 5) 4( 9) 2(11) P ANGEL 34 X X( X) 5( 5) 9(14) 6(20) 3(23) 2(25) P ANGEL 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) HUATULCO 34 X 1( 1) 3( 4) 10(14) 6(20) 4(24) 1(25) HUATULCO 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) 1( 5) SALINA CRUZ 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 5(10) 5(15) X(15) TAPACHULA 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 3( 5) 4( 9) 1(10) P SAN JOSE 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5) - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - HR POSITIONS KT 12 134N 963W 34 18 16(34) 6(40) 3(43) 3(46) 2(48) 1(49) 12 134N 963W 50 1 3( 4) 1( 5) 1( 6) 2( 8) 1( 9) 1(10) 12 134N 963W 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 24 137N 961W 34 7 19(26) 8(34) 5(39) 4(43) 2(45) 1(46) 24 137N 961W 50 1 3( 4) 2( 6) 1( 7) 1( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) 24 137N 961W 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) 36 141N 959W 34 1 14(15) 12(27) 7(34) 5(39) 3(42) 1(43) 36 141N 959W 50 X 2( 2) 3( 5) 2( 7) 3(10) 1(11) X(11) 36 141N 959W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 48 148N 959W 34 X 5( 5) 10(15) 10(25) 7(32) 4(36) 1(37) 48 148N 959W 50 X X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6) 2( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) 48 148N 959W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 72 155N 960W 34 X 1( 1) 6( 7) 10(17) 8(25) 3(28) 2(30) 72 155N 960W 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 3( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) 72 155N 960W 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) 96 160N 970W 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 6( 8) 6(14) 3(17) 2(19) 96 160N 970W 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) 96 160N 970W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 120 165N 980W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 4( 6) 4(10) 1(11) 120 165N 980W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 120 165N 980W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - - FCST MAX WIND 35 40 45 50 55 45 30 FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) $$ FORECASTER FRANKLIN