000 FOPZ12 KNHC 310837 PWSEP2 TROPICAL STORM BARBARA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 7 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP022007 0900 UTC THU MAY 31 2007 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM BARBARA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 96.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 40 KTS...45 MPH...75 KM/HR. CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT L CARDENAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) ZIHUATANEJO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) ACAPULCO 34 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 2( 3) 3( 6) 3( 9) P MALDONADO 34 X 2( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) 5( 9) 4(13) 3(16) P ANGEL 34 1 2( 3) 6( 9) 8(17) 9(26) 6(32) 2(34) P ANGEL 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 3( 5) 2( 7) X( 7) HUATULCO 34 1 2( 3) 5( 8) 8(16) 10(26) 6(32) 3(35) HUATULCO 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) 1( 6) 1( 7) SALINA CRUZ 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 4( 7) 7(14) 6(20) 2(22) SALINA CRUZ 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) TAPACHULA 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) 6(10) 3(13) 4(17) P SAN JOSE 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) 2( 6) 3( 9) - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - HR POSITIONS KT 12 129N 966W 34 73 16(89) 4(93) 1(94) X(94) X(94) X(94) 12 129N 966W 50 9 5(14) 8(22) 1(23) 2(25) 2(27) X(27) 12 129N 966W 64 1 1( 2) 3( 5) X( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) 24 128N 965W 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) 24 128N 965W 50 8 6(14) 9(23) 1(24) 2(26) 1(27) 1(28) 24 128N 965W 64 1 2( 3) 2( 5) 1( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) 36 133N 963W 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) 36 133N 963W 50 4 6(10) 11(21) 3(24) 2(26) 1(27) X(27) 36 133N 963W 64 X 2( 2) 3( 5) 1( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) 48 138N 961W 34 22 12(34) 24(58) 4(62) 4(66) 1(67) X(67) 48 138N 961W 50 1 3( 4) 9(13) 5(18) 4(22) 1(23) 1(24) 48 138N 961W 64 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5) 1( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) 72 145N 960W 34 4 8(12) 21(33) 8(41) 9(50) 3(53) 1(54) 72 145N 960W 50 X 1( 1) 5( 6) 3( 9) 4(13) 3(16) X(16) 72 145N 960W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) 96 155N 965W 34 1 2( 3) 8(11) 8(19) 8(27) 7(34) 2(36) 96 155N 965W 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 4( 7) 2( 9) X( 9) 96 155N 965W 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) 120 160N 980W 34 X 2( 2) 2( 4) 4( 8) 6(14) 5(19) 4(23) 120 160N 980W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) 120 160N 980W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - - FCST MAX WIND 45 50 55 60 65 70 65 FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) $$ FORECASTER BEVEN