000 FOPZ12 KNHC 302042 PWSEP2 TROPICAL STORM BARBARA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 5 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP022007 2100 UTC WED MAY 30 2007 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM BARBARA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 97.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 40 KTS...45 MPH...75 KM/HR. CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT ZIHUATANEJO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) ACAPULCO 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) 3( 7) 1( 8) P MALDONADO 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5) 6(11) 4(15) 2(17) P ANGEL 34 1 1( 2) 3( 5) 9(14) 13(27) 6(33) 3(36) P ANGEL 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 2( 7) 1( 8) HUATULCO 34 1 1( 2) 3( 5) 9(14) 11(25) 6(31) 3(34) HUATULCO 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 2( 7) X( 7) SALINA CRUZ 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 4( 6) 6(12) 5(17) 3(20) TAPACHULA 34 X 1( 1) X( 1) 3( 4) 6(10) 3(13) 2(15) P SAN JOSE 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5) 2( 7) - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - HR POSITIONS KT 12 129N 971W 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) 12 129N 971W 50 6 8(14) 8(22) 4(26) 2(28) 1(29) X(29) 12 129N 971W 64 1 1( 2) 2( 4) 3( 7) 1( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) 24 124N 969W 34 63 9(72) 6(78) 2(80) 2(82) 1(83) 1(84) 24 124N 969W 50 4 10(14) 7(21) 6(27) 4(31) 1(32) X(32) 24 124N 969W 64 X 2( 2) 2( 4) 2( 6) 2( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) 36 124N 967W 34 57 11(68) 6(74) 3(77) 3(80) 1(81) X(81) 36 124N 967W 50 4 9(13) 8(21) 6(27) 4(31) 1(32) X(32) 36 124N 967W 64 X 2( 2) 2( 4) 3( 7) 2( 9) 1(10) X(10) 48 130N 964W 34 54 8(62) 6(68) 6(74) 3(77) 1(78) X(78) 48 130N 964W 50 2 6( 8) 6(14) 8(22) 4(26) 2(28) X(28) 48 130N 964W 64 1 1( 2) 2( 4) 4( 8) 3(11) X(11) 1(12) 72 137N 964W 34 24 7(31) 12(43) 15(58) 8(66) 1(67) X(67) 72 137N 964W 50 1 1( 2) 4( 6) 11(17) 5(22) 3(25) X(25) 72 137N 964W 64 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 3( 5) 3( 8) 1( 9) 1(10) 96 145N 965W 34 4 4( 8) 11(19) 19(38) 11(49) 4(53) 2(55) 96 145N 965W 50 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 6( 9) 6(15) 2(17) 1(18) 96 145N 965W 64 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) 1( 6) 1( 7) 120 155N 970W 34 1 1( 2) 4( 6) 10(16) 12(28) 6(34) 3(37) 120 155N 970W 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 2( 8) 1( 9) 120 155N 970W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - - FCST MAX WIND 45 50 60 70 75 75 70 FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) $$ FORECASTER FRANKLIN