000 FOPZ12 KNHC 301444 PWSEP2 TROPICAL STORM BARBARA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 4 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP022007 1500 UTC WED MAY 30 2007 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM BARBARA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 97.3 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/HR. CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT BARRA NAVIDAD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) L CARDENAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) ZIHUATANEJO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 3( 5) ACAPULCO 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) 6( 9) 3(12) P MALDONADO 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 5( 9) 9(18) 5(23) P MALDONADO 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5) P ANGEL 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 5( 8) 13(21) 12(33) 4(37) P ANGEL 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 5( 8) 1( 9) HUATULCO 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 4( 7) 12(19) 13(32) 3(35) HUATULCO 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 4( 7) 1( 8) SALINA CRUZ 34 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 6( 7) 8(15) 2(17) SALINA CRUZ 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) TAPACHULA 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 5(11) 2(13) TAPACHULA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) P SAN JOSE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) 2( 7) - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - HR POSITIONS KT 12 139N 972W 34 35 6(41) 5(46) 7(53) 7(60) 3(63) 1(64) 12 139N 972W 50 1 2( 3) 1( 4) 7(11) 4(15) 4(19) X(19) 12 139N 972W 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) 24 134N 971W 34 11 13(24) 9(33) 11(44) 8(52) 3(55) 1(56) 24 134N 971W 50 1 2( 3) 3( 6) 5(11) 4(15) 3(18) X(18) 24 134N 971W 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) 36 130N 970W 34 3 14(17) 10(27) 12(39) 8(47) 4(51) 2(53) 36 130N 970W 50 X 3( 3) 4( 7) 4(11) 5(16) 2(18) 1(19) 36 130N 970W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) 48 130N 968W 34 3 14(17) 12(29) 11(40) 8(48) 5(53) 1(54) 48 130N 968W 50 X 2( 2) 4( 6) 5(11) 4(15) 3(18) 1(19) 48 130N 968W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) 72 135N 965W 34 6 10(16) 10(26) 10(36) 10(46) 5(51) 2(53) 72 135N 965W 50 X 2( 2) 3( 5) 5(10) 5(15) 4(19) 1(20) 72 135N 965W 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) 96 150N 975W 34 X 2( 2) 5( 7) 13(20) 12(32) 12(44) 3(47) 96 150N 975W 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 3( 7) 6(13) 1(14) 96 150N 975W 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) 120 165N 1000W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 3( 5) 6(11) 5(16) 120 165N 1000W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 120 165N 1000W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - - FCST MAX WIND 35 40 50 60 70 75 70 FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) $$ FORECASTER FRANKLIN