000 FOPZ12 KNHC 300834 PWSEP2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO-E WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 3 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP022007 0900 UTC WED MAY 30 2007 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO-E WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 97.4 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/HR. CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT L CARDENAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) ZIHUATANEJO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) ACAPULCO 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) 3( 7) 4(11) P MALDONADO 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 3( 6) 6(12) 5(17) 5(22) P MALDONADO 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) P ANGEL 34 1 2( 3) 5( 8) 5(13) 10(23) 9(32) 4(36) P ANGEL 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) 3( 7) 2( 9) HUATULCO 34 1 2( 3) 4( 7) 4(11) 11(22) 9(31) 4(35) HUATULCO 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 3( 6) 1( 7) SALINA CRUZ 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) 6( 9) 5(14) 4(18) TAPACHULA 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 4( 6) 4(10) 3(13) P SAN JOSE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) 2( 6) - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - HR POSITIONS KT 12 139N 971W 34 24 13(37) 8(45) 3(48) 13(61) 2(63) 1(64) 12 139N 971W 50 2 2( 4) 2( 6) 3( 9) 9(18) 3(21) 1(22) 12 139N 971W 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) 3( 5) X( 5) 1( 6) 24 136N 968W 34 17 15(32) 10(42) 4(46) 15(61) 1(62) 2(64) 24 136N 968W 50 1 3( 4) 4( 8) 2(10) 10(20) 2(22) X(22) 24 136N 968W 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) 3( 5) 1( 6) 1( 7) 36 131N 966W 34 6 16(22) 15(37) 5(42) 19(61) 3(64) 1(65) 36 131N 966W 50 X 3( 3) 5( 8) 3(11) 12(23) 1(24) 1(25) 36 131N 966W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 4( 6) X( 6) 1( 7) 48 130N 965W 34 5 15(20) 16(36) 6(42) 18(60) 3(63) 1(64) 48 130N 965W 50 X 2( 2) 6( 8) 3(11) 11(22) 2(24) 1(25) 48 130N 965W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 5( 7) X( 7) X( 7) 72 135N 965W 34 10 16(26) 13(39) 4(43) 16(59) 2(61) 1(62) 72 135N 965W 50 1 3( 4) 4( 8) 2(10) 11(21) 2(23) 1(24) 72 135N 965W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 3( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) 96 145N 970W 34 15 8(23) 8(31) 4(35) 16(51) 5(56) 3(59) 96 145N 970W 50 1 1( 2) 2( 4) 2( 6) 7(13) 3(16) 2(18) 96 145N 970W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) 120 160N 990W 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 4( 7) 6(13) 7(20) 5(25) 120 160N 990W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5) 120 160N 990W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - - FCST MAX WIND 35 40 50 55 65 75 75 FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) $$ FORECASTER BEVEN