433 FOPZ11 KNHC 022033 PWSEP1 HURRICANE NORMAN WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 23 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP162018 2100 UTC SUN SEP 02 2018 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE NORMAN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 130.9 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 115 KTS...130 MPH...215 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT 15N 135W 34 1 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 20N 135W 34 16 79(95) 1(96) X(96) X(96) X(96) X(96) 20N 135W 50 1 45(46) X(46) X(46) X(46) X(46) X(46) 20N 135W 64 X 13(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) 20N 140W 34 X 3( 3) 91(94) 3(97) X(97) X(97) X(97) 20N 140W 50 X X( X) 68(68) 12(80) X(80) X(80) X(80) 20N 140W 64 X X( X) 39(39) 13(52) X(52) X(52) X(52) 25N 140W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) 20N 145W 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 21(23) 50(73) 2(75) X(75) 20N 145W 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 34(35) 1(36) X(36) 20N 145W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 14(14) 1(15) X(15) 25N 145W 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 7( 9) 4(13) X(13) 20N 150W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) 18(28) 2(30) 20N 150W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 1( 7) 20N 150W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) 25N 150W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 20(22) 12(34) 25N 150W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 5( 9) 25N 150W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 30N 150W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 20N 151W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 14(18) 2(20) 20N 151W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) 20N 154W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) $$ FORECASTER AVILA