803 FOPZ11 KNHC 011454 PWSEP1 HURRICANE NORMAN WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 18 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP162018 1500 UTC SAT SEP 01 2018 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE NORMAN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 123.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 90 KTS...105 MPH...165 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT 15N 125W 34 53 2(55) X(55) X(55) X(55) X(55) X(55) 20N 125W 34 2 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) 15N 130W 34 1 5( 6) 9(15) 1(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) 20N 130W 34 X 3( 3) 17(20) 2(22) 1(23) X(23) X(23) 15N 135W 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 4( 7) 2( 9) X( 9) X( 9) 20N 135W 34 X X( X) 4( 4) 53(57) 19(76) X(76) X(76) 20N 135W 50 X X( X) X( X) 16(16) 19(35) X(35) X(35) 20N 135W 64 X X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 10(15) X(15) X(15) 15N 140W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 20N 140W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 68(69) 6(75) X(75) 20N 140W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 31(31) 5(36) X(36) 20N 140W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 12(12) 2(14) X(14) 25N 140W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 2( 6) 1( 7) 20N 145W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 33(37) 6(43) 20N 145W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 12(12) 2(14) 20N 145W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) 25N 145W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 5(14) 25N 145W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) 20N 150W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 12(15) 20N 150W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 20N 150W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 25N 150W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 8(11) 20N 151W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 7( 9) $$ FORECASTER STEWART