106 FOPZ11 KNHC 290234 PWSEP1 TROPICAL STORM NORMAN WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 3 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP162018 0300 UTC WED AUG 29 2018 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM NORMAN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 113.9 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 45 KTS...50 MPH...85 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT ISLA CLARION 34 85 1(86) 1(87) X(87) X(87) X(87) X(87) ISLA CLARION 50 29 2(31) X(31) X(31) X(31) X(31) X(31) ISLA CLARION 64 3 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) 15N 115W 34 1 2( 3) 2( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) 20N 115W 34 3 6( 9) 3(12) 1(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) 15N 120W 34 X 2( 2) 3( 5) 6(11) 6(17) X(17) 1(18) 20N 120W 34 X 3( 3) 26(29) 26(55) 4(59) X(59) X(59) 20N 120W 50 X X( X) 3( 3) 12(15) 3(18) X(18) X(18) 20N 120W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) 15N 125W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 23(23) 24(47) 2(49) 15N 125W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 15(20) 1(21) 15N 125W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 10(12) X(12) 20N 125W 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 24(26) 6(32) 1(33) 20N 125W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 3( 9) X( 9) 20N 125W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) 10N 130W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 15N 130W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 27(28) 28(56) 15N 130W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 18(26) 15N 130W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 11(14) 20N 130W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 9(18) 20N 130W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) 20N 130W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 15N 135W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 15(15) 15N 135W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 15N 135W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 20N 135W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) $$ FORECASTER PASCH