000 FOPZ11 KNHC 140236 PWSEP1 HURRICANE FERNANDA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 9 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP062017 0300 UTC FRI JUL 14 2017 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE FERNANDA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 11.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 117.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 75 KTS...85 MPH...140 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT 10N 120W 34 2 81(83) 2(85) 1(86) X(86) X(86) X(86) 10N 120W 50 X 35(35) 4(39) X(39) X(39) X(39) X(39) 10N 120W 64 X 11(11) 2(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) 15N 120W 34 X 2( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) 10N 125W 34 X 1( 1) 4( 5) 34(39) 6(45) X(45) X(45) 10N 125W 50 X X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 3(12) 1(13) X(13) 10N 125W 64 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) 15N 125W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 9(15) 1(16) X(16) 10N 130W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 12(12) 6(18) X(18) 15N 130W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 33(33) 27(60) 1(61) 15N 130W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 20(29) 1(30) 15N 130W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 13(16) X(16) 20N 130W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) 10N 135W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 3( 8) 15N 135W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 33(33) 33(66) 15N 135W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 11(11) 25(36) 15N 135W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 16(21) 20N 135W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 9(11) 20N 135W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 20N 135W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 15N 140W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 13(13) 20N 140W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) $$ FORECASTER BROWN