000 FOPZ11 KNHC 102039 PWSEP1 TROPICAL STORM ADRIAN WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 5 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP012017 2100 UTC WED MAY 10 2017 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ADRIAN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 10.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 92.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT L CARDENAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 2( 3) ZIHUATANEJO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) 10N 100W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 3( 7) 11(18) 10N 100W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 15N 100W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 6(13) 11(24) 15N 100W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) ACAPULCO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6) 7(13) P MALDONADO 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 6(13) 10(23) P ANGEL 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 7(10) 8(18) 17(35) P ANGEL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 3( 6) HUATULCO 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 7( 9) 7(16) 16(32) HUATULCO 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 4( 6) 10N 95W 34 X 2( 2) 2( 4) 2( 6) 6(12) 5(17) 10(27) 10N 95W 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) 15N 95W 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) 7(11) 6(17) 16(33) 15N 95W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 3( 6) TAPACHULA 34 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 2( 3) 3( 6) 6(12) P SAN JOSE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 3( 5) $$ FORECASTER PASCH