000 FOPZ11 KNHC 101431 PWSEP1 TROPICAL STORM ADRIAN WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 4 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP012017 1500 UTC WED MAY 10 2017 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ADRIAN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 10.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 92.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 40 KTS...45 MPH...75 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT L CARDENAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 3( 5) ZIHUATANEJO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 4( 7) 10N 100W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 7(12) 15(27) 10N 100W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) 10N 100W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 15N 100W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 10(11) 10(21) 15(36) 15N 100W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 4( 8) 15N 100W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) ACAPULCO 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 7(10) 9(19) P MALDONADO 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) 12(20) 12(32) P MALDONADO 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 2( 6) P MALDONADO 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) P ANGEL 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 11(15) 15(30) 17(47) P ANGEL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) 6(13) P ANGEL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) HUATULCO 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 10(14) 14(28) 15(43) HUATULCO 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) 5(12) HUATULCO 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) 10N 95W 34 X 5( 5) 5(10) 4(14) 7(21) 9(30) 12(42) 10N 95W 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) 5( 8) 3(11) 10N 95W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) 15N 95W 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 4( 6) 10(16) 12(28) 19(47) 15N 95W 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 5( 8) 7(15) 15N 95W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) TAPACHULA 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 3( 5) 5(10) 8(18) P SAN JOSE 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) 2( 5) 4( 9) 10N 90W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) $$ FORECASTER PASCH