000 FOPZ11 KNHC 041451 PWSEP1 HURRICANE HENRIETTE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 20 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP112007 1500 UTC TUE SEP 04 2007 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE HENRIETTE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 22.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 109.4 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 75 KTS...85 MPH...140 KM/HR. CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT P ABREOJOS 34 1 2( 3) 1( 4) 3( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) CABO SAN LUCAS 34 99 1(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) CABO SAN LUCAS 50 80 2(82) X(82) X(82) X(82) X(82) X(82) CABO SAN LUCAS 64 23 1(24) X(24) X(24) X(24) X(24) X(24) SAN JOSE CABO 34 99 1(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) SAN JOSE CABO 50 78 3(81) X(81) X(81) X(81) X(81) X(81) SAN JOSE CABO 64 23 1(24) X(24) X(24) X(24) X(24) X(24) LA PAZ 34 81 13(94) X(94) X(94) X(94) X(94) X(94) LA PAZ 50 19 29(48) 1(49) X(49) X(49) X(49) X(49) LA PAZ 64 2 5( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) LORETO 34 3 29(32) 15(47) 1(48) X(48) X(48) X(48) LORETO 50 X 3( 3) 3( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) HERMOSILLO 34 X 2( 2) 5( 7) 9(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) BAHIA KINO 34 X 2( 2) 6( 8) 7(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) GUAYMAS 34 1 6( 7) 20(27) 9(36) X(36) X(36) X(36) GUAYMAS 50 X X( X) 4( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) HUATABAMPO 34 2 23(25) 17(42) 3(45) X(45) X(45) X(45) HUATABAMPO 50 X 2( 2) 3( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) LOS MOCHIS 34 6 29(35) 5(40) 1(41) X(41) X(41) X(41) LOS MOCHIS 50 X 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) CULICAN 34 38 20(58) X(58) X(58) X(58) X(58) X(58) CULICAN 50 1 5( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) MAZATLAN 34 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - HR POSITIONS KT 12 236N 1101W 34 95 3(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) 12 236N 1101W 50 51 13(64) 1(65) X(65) X(65) X(65) X(65) 12 236N 1101W 64 9 3(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) 24 255N 1106W 34 11 54(65) 6(71) 1(72) X(72) X(72) X(72) 24 255N 1106W 50 1 17(18) 6(24) X(24) X(24) X(24) X(24) 24 255N 1106W 64 X 3( 3) 1( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) 36 274N 1107W 34 2 13(15) 24(39) 6(45) X(45) X(45) X(45) 36 274N 1107W 50 X 1( 1) 5( 6) 3( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) 36 274N 1107W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 48 292N 1105W 34 X 2( 2) 5( 7) 10(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) 48 292N 1105W 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 48 292N 1105W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - - FCST MAX WIND 65 60 55 40 0 0 0 FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) $$ FORECASTER RHOME