000 FOPZ11 KNHC 021441 PWSEP1 TROPICAL STORM HENRIETTE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 12 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP112007 1500 UTC SUN SEP 02 2007 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM HENRIETTE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 106.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 60 KTS...70 MPH...110 KM/HR. CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT P ABREOJOS 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) 12(21) X(21) P ABREOJOS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) CABO SAN LUCAS 34 X 2( 2) 20(22) 16(38) 8(46) 2(48) X(48) CABO SAN LUCAS 50 X X( X) 5( 5) 6(11) 3(14) 1(15) X(15) CABO SAN LUCAS 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) SAN JOSE CABO 34 X 2( 2) 16(18) 13(31) 9(40) 1(41) X(41) SAN JOSE CABO 50 X X( X) 3( 3) 5( 8) 3(11) 1(12) X(12) SAN JOSE CABO 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) LA PAZ 34 X 1( 1) 5( 6) 11(17) 13(30) 4(34) X(34) LA PAZ 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) LORETO 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 10(13) 9(22) X(22) LORETO 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) P PENASCO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) HERMOSILLO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) 1( 7) BAHIA KINO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 7( 9) 1(10) GUAYMAS 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 7(11) 1(12) HUATABAMPO 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 5(12) X(12) LOS MOCHIS 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 5( 9) 4(13) X(13) CULICAN 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 4( 7) 7(14) 3(17) X(17) CULICAN 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) MAZATLAN 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5) 2( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) SAN BLAS 34 X 2( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) P VALLARTA 34 1 1( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) BARRA NAVIDAD 34 1 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) MANZANILLO 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) ISLA SOCORRO 34 X 9( 9) 16(25) 5(30) 4(34) 1(35) X(35) ISLA SOCORRO 50 X X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) 2( 7) X( 7) X( 7) ISLA CLARION 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) 2( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) ISLAS MARIAS 34 1 3( 4) 3( 7) 2( 9) 1(10) X(10) X(10) - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - HR POSITIONS KT 12 192N 1076W 34 89 6(95) 1(96) X(96) X(96) X(96) X(96) 12 192N 1076W 50 53 17(70) 1(71) X(71) X(71) X(71) X(71) 12 192N 1076W 64 31 11(42) 1(43) X(43) X(43) X(43) X(43) 24 200N 1090W 34 5 69(74) 12(86) 2(88) X(88) 1(89) X(89) 24 200N 1090W 50 1 37(38) 14(52) 2(54) X(54) 1(55) X(55) 24 200N 1090W 64 X 19(19) 9(28) 1(29) 1(30) X(30) X(30) 36 210N 1102W 34 X 22(22) 44(66) 10(76) 3(79) 1(80) X(80) 36 210N 1102W 50 X 4( 4) 29(33) 8(41) 2(43) 1(44) X(44) 36 210N 1102W 64 X 1( 1) 14(15) 5(20) 1(21) X(21) X(21) 48 220N 1113W 34 X 2( 2) 32(34) 22(56) 10(66) 2(68) X(68) 48 220N 1113W 50 X X( X) 10(10) 15(25) 7(32) 1(33) X(33) 48 220N 1113W 64 X X( X) 3( 3) 7(10) 3(13) 1(14) X(14) 72 240N 1125W 34 X X( X) 4( 4) 14(18) 20(38) 9(47) X(47) 72 240N 1125W 50 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 9(13) 3(16) X(16) 72 240N 1125W 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) 96 270N 1130W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) 10(19) 1(20) 96 270N 1130W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) 96 270N 1130W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 120 301N 1130W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 1( 6) 120 301N 1130W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 120 301N 1130W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - - FCST MAX WIND 70 75 85 80 70 50 30 FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) $$ FORECASTER RHOME