000 FOPZ11 KNHC 161455 PWSEP1 TROPICAL STORM COSME WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 9 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP062007 1500 UTC MON JUL 16 2007 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM COSME WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 130.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 55 KTS...65 MPH...100 KM/HR. CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT 15N 145W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 5(10) 1(11) 20N 145W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) 1( 7) BUOY 50004 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - HR POSITIONS KT 12 147N 1319W 34 90 5(95) X(95) X(95) X(95) X(95) X(95) 12 147N 1319W 50 36 20(56) 1(57) X(57) X(57) X(57) X(57) 12 147N 1319W 64 14 6(20) X(20) X(20) X(20) X(20) X(20) 24 151N 1338W 34 5 62(67) 9(76) 1(77) X(77) X(77) X(77) 24 151N 1338W 50 X 23(23) 10(33) X(33) X(33) X(33) X(33) 24 151N 1338W 64 X 6( 6) 2( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) 36 154N 1357W 34 1 13(14) 36(50) 9(59) 2(61) X(61) X(61) 36 154N 1357W 50 X 1( 1) 14(15) 4(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) 36 154N 1357W 64 X X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) 48 157N 1379W 34 X 1( 1) 10(11) 21(32) 9(41) X(41) X(41) 48 157N 1379W 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) 3(11) X(11) X(11) 48 157N 1379W 64 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 72 165N 1430W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 14(15) 6(21) X(21) 72 165N 1430W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) 72 165N 1430W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 96 175N 1480W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) 2(11) 96 175N 1480W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 96 175N 1480W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 120 180N 1530W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 120 180N 1530W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 120 180N 1530W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - - FCST MAX WIND 65 60 55 50 45 40 30 FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) $$ FORECASTER MAINELLI