000 FOPZ11 KNHC 160848 PWSEP1 TROPICAL STORM COSME WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 8 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP062007 0900 UTC MON JUL 16 2007 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM COSME WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 129.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 55 KTS...65 MPH...100 KM/HR. CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT 15N 145W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 6( 9) 1(10) 20N 145W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) 1( 6) BUOY 50004 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - HR POSITIONS KT 12 144N 1307W 34 87 8(95) X(95) X(95) X(95) X(95) X(95) 12 144N 1307W 50 32 19(51) 1(52) X(52) X(52) X(52) X(52) 12 144N 1307W 64 8 5(13) 1(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) 24 149N 1325W 34 4 67(71) 12(83) 1(84) X(84) X(84) X(84) 24 149N 1325W 50 X 26(26) 13(39) 1(40) X(40) X(40) X(40) 24 149N 1325W 64 X 9( 9) 5(14) X(14) 1(15) X(15) X(15) 36 152N 1344W 34 1 14(15) 43(58) 11(69) 2(71) X(71) X(71) 36 152N 1344W 50 X 1( 1) 20(21) 7(28) X(28) X(28) X(28) 36 152N 1344W 64 X X( X) 8( 8) 2(10) 1(11) X(11) X(11) 48 155N 1367W 34 X 2( 2) 13(15) 28(43) 11(54) X(54) X(54) 48 155N 1367W 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 12(14) 4(18) X(18) X(18) 48 155N 1367W 64 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) 72 162N 1415W 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 19(21) 5(26) 1(27) 72 162N 1415W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) 72 162N 1415W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) 96 170N 1465W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) 2(11) 96 170N 1465W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 96 170N 1465W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 120 175N 1515W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) 120 175N 1515W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 120 175N 1515W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - - FCST MAX WIND 60 65 65 60 50 40 30 FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) $$ FORECASTER BROWN