000 FOPZ11 KNHC 160231 PWSEP1 TROPICAL STORM COSME WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 7 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP062007 0300 UTC MON JUL 16 2007 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM COSME WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 128.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 45 KTS...50 MPH...85 KM/HR. CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT 15N 145W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 8(10) 1(11) 20N 145W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) BUOY 50004 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - HR POSITIONS KT 12 138N 1299W 34 85 7(92) X(92) 1(93) X(93) X(93) X(93) 12 138N 1299W 50 34 17(51) 1(52) X(52) X(52) X(52) X(52) 12 138N 1299W 64 5 2( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) 24 145N 1316W 34 11 57(68) 11(79) X(79) 1(80) X(80) X(80) 24 145N 1316W 50 X 27(27) 11(38) X(38) X(38) X(38) X(38) 24 145N 1316W 64 X 7( 7) 2( 9) 1(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) 36 148N 1334W 34 1 19(20) 36(56) 10(66) 2(68) X(68) X(68) 36 148N 1334W 50 X 2( 2) 18(20) 6(26) 1(27) X(27) X(27) 36 148N 1334W 64 X X( X) 6( 6) 2( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) X( 9) 48 150N 1355W 34 X 3( 3) 15(18) 22(40) 10(50) X(50) X(50) 48 150N 1355W 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 10(12) 4(16) X(16) X(16) 48 150N 1355W 64 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) 72 155N 1405W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 19(20) 6(26) 1(27) 72 155N 1405W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 2( 7) X( 7) 72 155N 1405W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) 96 165N 1460W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) 2(11) 96 165N 1460W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 96 165N 1460W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 120 175N 1510W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 120 175N 1510W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 120 175N 1510W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - - FCST MAX WIND 55 60 60 55 50 40 30 FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) $$ FORECASTER BEVEN