000 FOPZ11 KNHC 152041 PWSEP1 TROPICAL STORM COSME WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 6 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP062007 2100 UTC SUN JUL 15 2007 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM COSME WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 12.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 128.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/HR. CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT 15N 145W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) 20N 145W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - HR POSITIONS KT 12 133N 1289W 34 73 10(83) 1(84) X(84) X(84) X(84) X(84) 12 133N 1289W 50 9 5(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) 12 133N 1289W 64 1 X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 24 140N 1303W 34 11 43(54) 9(63) 1(64) X(64) X(64) X(64) 24 140N 1303W 50 X 10(10) 4(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) 24 140N 1303W 64 X 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 36 145N 1323W 34 1 7( 8) 29(37) 8(45) 1(46) X(46) X(46) 36 145N 1323W 50 X X( X) 8( 8) 3(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) 36 145N 1323W 64 X X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 48 147N 1343W 34 X 1( 1) 9(10) 15(25) 8(33) 1(34) X(34) 48 147N 1343W 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 2( 7) X( 7) X( 7) 48 147N 1343W 64 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 72 150N 1385W 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 11(13) 6(19) X(19) 72 150N 1385W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) 72 150N 1385W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 96 160N 1430W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) 3(11) 96 160N 1430W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 96 160N 1430W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 120 175N 1480W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 120 175N 1480W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 120 175N 1480W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - - FCST MAX WIND 45 45 45 40 40 35 30 FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) $$ FORECASTER MAINELLI