000 FOPZ11 KNHC 151448 PWSEP1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIX-E WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 5 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP062007 1500 UTC SUN JUL 15 2007 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIX-E WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 12.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 127.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/HR. CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT 15N 145W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - HR POSITIONS KT 12 130N 1279W 34 34 20(54) 2(56) X(56) X(56) X(56) X(56) 12 130N 1279W 50 2 2( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) 12 130N 1279W 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 24 140N 1292W 34 2 43(45) 10(55) 1(56) X(56) X(56) X(56) 24 140N 1292W 50 X 8( 8) 5(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) 24 140N 1292W 64 X 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 36 147N 1308W 34 X 10(10) 28(38) 7(45) 2(47) X(47) 1(48) 36 147N 1308W 50 X 1( 1) 9(10) 2(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) 36 147N 1308W 64 X X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 48 153N 1328W 34 X 1( 1) 9(10) 15(25) 8(33) 1(34) X(34) 48 153N 1328W 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 2( 7) X( 7) X( 7) 48 153N 1328W 64 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 72 155N 1370W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 13(14) 4(18) 1(19) 72 155N 1370W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) 72 155N 1370W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 96 160N 1410W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 6( 8) 3(11) 96 160N 1410W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 96 160N 1410W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 120 170N 1450W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) 120 170N 1450W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 120 170N 1450W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - - FCST MAX WIND 35 45 45 40 40 35 30 FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) $$ FORECASTER MAINELLI