000 FOPZ11 KNHC 150824 PWSEP1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIX-E WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 4 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP062007 0900 UTC SUN JUL 15 2007 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIX-E WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 11.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 127.6 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 25 KTS...30 MPH...45 KM/HR. CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT 15N 145W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - HR POSITIONS KT 12 119N 1282W 34 15 10(25) 2(27) X(27) X(27) X(27) X(27) 12 119N 1282W 50 1 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 12 119N 1282W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 24 130N 1295W 34 1 23(24) 14(38) 1(39) 1(40) X(40) X(40) 24 130N 1295W 50 X 4( 4) 3( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) 24 130N 1295W 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 36 140N 1310W 34 X 4( 4) 30(34) 9(43) 2(45) X(45) X(45) 36 140N 1310W 50 X X( X) 7( 7) 4(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) 36 140N 1310W 64 X X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 48 145N 1330W 34 X 1( 1) 9(10) 20(30) 8(38) X(38) 1(39) 48 145N 1330W 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) 2(10) X(10) X(10) 48 145N 1330W 64 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 72 150N 1365W 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 13(16) 5(21) 1(22) 72 150N 1365W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) 72 150N 1365W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 96 155N 1400W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 7(10) 2(12) 96 155N 1400W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 96 155N 1400W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 120 160N 1440W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) 120 160N 1440W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 120 160N 1440W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - - FCST MAX WIND 30 35 45 45 40 35 30 FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) $$ FORECASTER AVILA