000 FOPZ11 KNHC 142030 PWSEP1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIX-E WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 2 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP062007 2100 UTC SAT JUL 14 2007 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIX-E WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 11.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 127.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 25 KTS...30 MPH...45 KM/HR. CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT 15N 145W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - HR POSITIONS KT 12 116N 1285W 34 14 11(25) 2(27) X(27) X(27) X(27) X(27) 12 116N 1285W 50 1 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 12 116N 1285W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 24 120N 1300W 34 1 23(24) 11(35) 1(36) 1(37) X(37) X(37) 24 120N 1300W 50 X 3( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) 24 120N 1300W 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 36 125N 1320W 34 X 3( 3) 24(27) 10(37) 4(41) X(41) X(41) 36 125N 1320W 50 X X( X) 5( 5) 3( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) X( 9) 36 125N 1320W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 48 130N 1335W 34 X 1( 1) 10(11) 16(27) 9(36) 1(37) 1(38) 48 130N 1335W 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 3( 9) 1(10) X(10) 48 130N 1335W 64 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 72 135N 1360W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 15(22) 5(27) 2(29) 72 135N 1360W 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 2( 7) X( 7) 72 135N 1360W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) 96 140N 1380W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 9(10) 6(16) 3(19) 96 140N 1380W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) 96 140N 1380W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 120 145N 1410W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 3( 9) 120 145N 1410W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 120 145N 1410W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - - FCST MAX WIND 30 35 40 45 45 45 45 FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) $$ FORECASTER AVILA