000 FOPZ11 KNHC 300833 PWSEP1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION ALVIN WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 14 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP012007 0900 UTC WED MAY 30 2007 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION ALVIN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 114.6 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/HR. CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT ...THERE ARE NO LOCATIONS WITH TOTAL ACCUMLATED 5 DAY PROBABILITIES GREATER THAN 2 PERCENT... - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - HR POSITIONS KT 12 131N 1152W 34 18 7(25) 4(29) 2(31) X(31) 1(32) X(32) 12 131N 1152W 50 1 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) 12 131N 1152W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 24 132N 1158W 34 8 12(20) 4(24) 3(27) 1(28) X(28) 1(29) 24 132N 1158W 50 X 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 1( 4) 24 132N 1158W 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 36 132N 1166W 34 2 8(10) 8(18) 4(22) 2(24) 1(25) X(25) 36 132N 1166W 50 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) 36 132N 1166W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 48 132N 1177W 34 X 3( 3) 6( 9) 7(16) 4(20) 1(21) 1(22) 48 132N 1177W 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) 48 132N 1177W 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 72 130N 1190W 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) 5(12) 2(14) 1(15) 72 130N 1190W 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) 72 130N 1190W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 96 125N 1200W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 6( 9) 2(11) 1(12) 96 125N 1200W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 96 125N 1200W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 120 115N 1220W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) 2( 6) 120 115N 1220W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 120 115N 1220W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - - FCST MAX WIND 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) $$ FORECASTER RHOME