000 FOPA12 PHFO 081432 PWSCP2 HURRICANE DORA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 33 NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI EP052023 1500 UTC TUE AUG 08 2023 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DORA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 11.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 156.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 115 KTS...130 MPH...215 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT 10N 160W 34 4 13(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) 10N 165W 34 X 4( 4) 26(30) X(30) X(30) X(30) X(30) 10N 165W 50 X 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) 10N 165W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 15N 165W 34 X 1( 1) 5( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) JOHNSTON ISL 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) X( 6) 10N 170W 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 14(17) 1(18) X(18) X(18) 10N 170W 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 15N 170W 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 22(24) 4(28) X(28) X(28) 15N 170W 50 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) 15N 170W 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 10N 175W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) X( 8) X( 8) 15N 175W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 78(79) 1(80) X(80) 15N 175W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 48(48) 1(49) X(49) 15N 175W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 27(27) 1(28) X(28) $$ FORECASTER JELSEMA