000 FOPA12 PHFO 270832 PWSCP2 HURRICANE DOUGLAS WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 28 NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI EP082020 0900 UTC MON JUL 27 2020 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DOUGLAS WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 22.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 158.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 80 KTS...90 MPH...150 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT BARKING SANDS 34 73 X(73) X(73) X(73) X(73) X(73) X(73) BARKING SANDS 50 4 X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) LIHUE 34 87 X(87) X(87) X(87) X(87) X(87) X(87) NIIHAU 34 12 X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) NIHOA 34 83 12(95) X(95) X(95) X(95) X(95) X(95) NIHOA 50 37 32(69) X(69) X(69) X(69) X(69) X(69) NIHOA 64 2 5( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) BUOY 51101 34 15 31(46) X(46) X(46) X(46) X(46) X(46) BUOY 51101 50 1 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) 22N 164W 34 1 5( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) NECKER 34 1 80(81) 4(85) X(85) X(85) X(85) X(85) NECKER 50 X 27(27) 2(29) X(29) X(29) X(29) X(29) NECKER 64 X 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) 25N 165W 34 1 14(15) 4(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) FR FRIG SHOALS 34 X 24(24) 51(75) X(75) X(75) X(75) X(75) FR FRIG SHOALS 50 X 1( 1) 14(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) FR FRIG SHOALS 64 X X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) GARDNER PINN 34 X 2( 2) 30(32) 2(34) X(34) X(34) X(34) 25N 170W 34 X X( X) 9( 9) 20(29) X(29) X(29) X(29) MARO REEF 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 12(15) 1(16) X(16) X(16) 25N 175W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 12(13) X(13) X(13) LAYSAN 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) LISIANSKI 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) $$ FORECASTER BIRCHARD