000 FOPA12 PHFO 250841 PWSCP2 HURRICANE DOUGLAS WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 20 NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI EP082020 0900 UTC SAT JUL 25 2020 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DOUGLAS WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 146.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 95 KTS...110 MPH...175 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT 20N 150W 34 22 72(94) X(94) X(94) X(94) X(94) X(94) 20N 150W 50 2 58(60) X(60) X(60) X(60) X(60) X(60) 20N 150W 64 1 18(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) 20N 151W 34 2 91(93) X(93) X(93) X(93) X(93) X(93) 20N 151W 50 X 66(66) 1(67) X(67) X(67) X(67) X(67) 20N 151W 64 X 26(26) X(26) X(26) X(26) X(26) X(26) BUOY 51004 34 X 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 20N 154W 34 X 5( 5) 42(47) 1(48) X(48) X(48) X(48) 20N 154W 50 X X( X) 14(14) 1(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) 20N 154W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) HILO 34 X 1( 1) 20(21) 3(24) X(24) X(24) X(24) HILO 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) BRADSHAW AAF 34 X X( X) 6( 6) 6(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) SOUTH POINT 34 X X( X) 4( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) 21N 156W 34 X X( X) 28(28) 32(60) X(60) X(60) X(60) 21N 156W 50 X X( X) 5( 5) 18(23) X(23) X(23) X(23) 21N 156W 64 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) KAILUA-KONA 34 X X( X) 9( 9) 9(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) KAHULUI 34 X X( X) 15(15) 36(51) X(51) X(51) X(51) KAHULUI 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 14(15) 1(16) X(16) X(16) KAHULUI 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 21N 158W 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 29(31) 7(38) X(38) X(38) 21N 158W 50 X X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 3( 9) X( 9) X( 9) BARKING SANDS 34 X X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 35(42) X(42) X(42) BARKING SANDS 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) X( 6) X( 6) HANA 34 X X( X) 26(26) 27(53) 1(54) X(54) X(54) HANA 50 X X( X) 4( 4) 14(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) HANA 64 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) LANAI CITY 34 X X( X) 7( 7) 34(41) 1(42) X(42) X(42) LANAI CITY 50 X X( X) X( X) 10(10) 1(11) X(11) X(11) KAUNAKAKAI 34 X X( X) 6( 6) 42(48) 2(50) X(50) X(50) KAUNAKAKAI 50 X X( X) X( X) 14(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) KAUNAKAKAI 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) HONOLULU 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 35(37) 9(46) X(46) X(46) HONOLULU 50 X X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 3(11) X(11) X(11) JOINT BASE PHH 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 35(37) 9(46) X(46) X(46) JOINT BASE PHH 50 X X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 3(11) X(11) X(11) LIHUE 34 X X( X) X( X) 12(12) 32(44) X(44) X(44) LIHUE 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) X( 9) X( 9) 20N 160W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) X( 9) X( 9) 25N 160W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) X( 5) X( 5) NIIHAU 34 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 33(37) X(37) X(37) NIIHAU 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) X( 6) X( 6) 21N 160W 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 20(23) X(23) X(23) 21N 160W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) BUOY 51003 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) NIHOA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 32(32) X(32) X(32) NIHOA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) BUOY 51101 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 14(14) X(14) X(14) 22N 164W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 19(19) 5(24) X(24) NECKER 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 16(16) 9(25) X(25) 20N 165W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) 25N 165W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 5(11) X(11) FR FRIG SHOALS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 14(21) X(21) GARDNER PINN 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 9(10) 1(11) 25N 170W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) 2(12) MARO REEF 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 1( 8) 25N 175W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) LAYSAN 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 2( 7) LISIANSKI 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) $$ FORECASTER JELSEMA