000 FONT15 KNHC 032031 PWSAT5 TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIVE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 1 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052008 2100 UTC SUN AUG 03 2008 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIVE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 28.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 88.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/HR. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME I. MAXIMUM WIND SPEED (INTENSITY) PROBABILITY TABLE CHANCES THAT THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEED OF THE TROPICAL CYCLONE WILL BE WITHIN ANY OF THE FOLLOWING CATEGORIES AT EACH OFFICIAL FORECAST TIME DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS. PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT. X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT. - - - MAXIMUM WIND SPEED (INTENSITY) PROBABILITIES - - - VALID TIME 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI FORECAST HOUR 12 24 36 48 72 96 120 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - DISSIPATED 2 3 7 10 49 X X TROP DEPRESSION 46 30 23 23 34 X X TROPICAL STORM 52 64 60 59 16 X X HURRICANE X 2 11 8 1 X X - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - HUR CAT 1 X 2 10 7 1 X X HUR CAT 2 X X 1 1 X X X HUR CAT 3 X X X X X X X HUR CAT 4 X X X X X X X HUR CAT 5 X X X X X X X - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - FCST MAX WIND 35KT 40KT 50KT 40KT 20KT 0KT 0KT II. WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT PENSACOLA FL 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) GFMX 290N 870W 34 1 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) MOBILE AL 34 X 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) GULFPORT MS 34 1 3( 4) 2( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) BURAS LA 34 9 9(18) 2(20) X(20) 1(21) X(21) X(21) GFMX 280N 890W 34 23 6(29) 1(30) 1(31) X(31) X(31) X(31) JACKSON MS 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) NEW ORLEANS LA 34 2 9(11) 4(15) 1(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) GFMX 280N 910W 34 4 28(32) 8(40) 1(41) X(41) X(41) X(41) GFMX 280N 910W 50 X 3( 3) 3( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) GFMX 280N 910W 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) BATON ROUGE LA 34 1 7( 8) 7(15) 2(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) NEW IBERIA LA 34 1 12(13) 14(27) 2(29) 1(30) X(30) X(30) NEW IBERIA LA 50 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) GFMX 280N 930W 34 X 13(13) 24(37) 3(40) 1(41) X(41) X(41) GFMX 280N 930W 50 X 1( 1) 7( 8) 2(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) GFMX 280N 930W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) SHREVEPORT LA 34 X 1( 1) 3( 4) 2( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) PORT ARTHUR TX 34 X 5( 5) 24(29) 9(38) 1(39) X(39) X(39) PORT ARTHUR TX 50 X X( X) 4( 4) 3( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) PORT ARTHUR TX 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) GALVESTON TX 34 X 3( 3) 24(27) 12(39) 2(41) X(41) X(41) GALVESTON TX 50 X X( X) 5( 5) 5(10) 1(11) X(11) X(11) GALVESTON TX 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) HOUSTON TX 34 X 1( 1) 17(18) 16(34) 3(37) X(37) X(37) HOUSTON TX 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) 2( 8) X( 8) X( 8) HOUSTON TX 64 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) AUSTIN TX 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 9(12) 8(20) X(20) X(20) AUSTIN TX 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) SAN ANTONIO TX 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 7( 9) 7(16) X(16) X(16) FREEPORT TX 34 X 1( 1) 19(20) 13(33) 3(36) X(36) X(36) FREEPORT TX 50 X X( X) 3( 3) 5( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) X( 9) FREEPORT TX 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) GFMX 280N 950W 34 X 2( 2) 17(19) 11(30) 2(32) X(32) X(32) GFMX 280N 950W 50 X X( X) 3( 3) 4( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) GFMX 280N 950W 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) PORT O CONNOR 34 X 1( 1) 7( 8) 12(20) 3(23) X(23) X(23) PORT O CONNOR 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) X( 6) PORT O CONNOR 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) CORPUS CHRISTI 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 5( 8) 5(13) X(13) X(13) CORPUS CHRISTI 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) GFMX 270N 960W 34 X 1( 1) 5( 6) 5(11) 3(14) X(14) X(14) GFMX 270N 960W 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) BROWNSVILLE TX 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) GFMX 250N 960W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) $$ FORECASTER BEVEN