000 FONT15 KNHC 212030 PWSAT5 TROPICAL DEPRESSION TEN WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 2 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL102007 2100 UTC FRI SEP 21 2007 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION TEN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 29.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 86.4 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/HR. CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT PANAMA CITY FL 34 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) MONTGOMERY AL 34 1 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) PENSACOLA FL 34 22 6(28) X(28) X(28) X(28) X(28) X(28) GFMX 290N 870W 34 4 2( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) MOBILE AL 34 11 17(28) 1(29) X(29) X(29) X(29) X(29) MOBILE AL 50 1 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) GULFPORT MS 34 5 15(20) 3(23) X(23) X(23) X(23) X(23) GULFPORT MS 50 X 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) BURAS LA 34 1 5( 6) 3( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) JACKSON MS 34 X 4( 4) 9(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) NEW ORLEANS LA 34 X 9( 9) 4(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) BATON ROUGE LA 34 X 4( 4) 7(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) NEW IBERIA LA 34 X 2( 2) 4( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) SHREVEPORT LA 34 X X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - HR POSITIONS KT 12 303N 876W 34 20 9(29) 1(30) X(30) X(30) X(30) X(30) 12 303N 876W 50 2 X( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 12 303N 876W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 24 307N 895W 34 2 18(20) 5(25) X(25) X(25) X(25) X(25) 24 307N 895W 50 X 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 24 307N 895W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 36 315N 920W 34 X 2( 2) 9(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) 36 315N 920W 50 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 36 315N 920W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - - FCST MAX WIND 35 35 30 0 0 0 0 FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) $$ FORECASTER FRANKLIN