000 FONT15 KNHC 150832 PWSAT5 TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIVE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 2 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052007 0900 UTC WED AUG 15 2007 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIVE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 24.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 91.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 25 KTS...30 MPH...45 KM/HR. CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT GFMX 280N 930W 34 X 5( 5) 3( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) PORT ARTHUR TX 34 X 1( 1) 3( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) GALVESTON TX 34 X 2( 2) 5( 7) 2( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) HOUSTON TX 34 X 2( 2) 3( 5) 2( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) AUSTIN TX 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) SAN ANTONIO TX 34 X X( X) 4( 4) 5( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) FREEPORT TX 34 X 3( 3) 7(10) 3(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) GFMX 280N 950W 34 X 9( 9) 13(22) 2(24) X(24) X(24) X(24) GFMX 280N 950W 50 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) PORT O CONNOR 34 X 4( 4) 15(19) 5(24) X(24) X(24) X(24) PORT O CONNOR 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) CORPUS CHRISTI 34 X 2( 2) 15(17) 6(23) X(23) X(23) X(23) CORPUS CHRISTI 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) GFMX 270N 960W 34 X 14(14) 17(31) 3(34) X(34) X(34) X(34) GFMX 270N 960W 50 X 1( 1) 5( 6) 2( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) BROWNSVILLE TX 34 X 1( 1) 9(10) 3(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) GFMX 250N 960W 34 X 4( 4) 3( 7) 2( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - HR POSITIONS KT 12 253N 932W 34 13 9(22) 1(23) X(23) X(23) X(23) X(23) 12 253N 932W 50 1 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 12 253N 932W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 24 264N 952W 34 1 21(22) 11(33) 2(35) X(35) X(35) X(35) 24 264N 952W 50 X 3( 3) 4( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) 24 264N 952W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 36 273N 970W 34 X 5( 5) 17(22) 5(27) X(27) X(27) X(27) 36 273N 970W 50 X X( X) 4( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) 36 273N 970W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 48 280N 989W 34 X X( X) 5( 5) 7(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) 48 280N 989W 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 48 280N 989W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - - FCST MAX WIND 30 35 40 25 0 0 0 FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) $$ FORECASTER RHOME