000 FONT14 KNHC 121446 PWSAT4 TROPICAL STORM ETA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 49 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL292020 1500 UTC THU NOV 12 2020 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ETA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 30.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 81.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 40 KTS...45 MPH...75 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN STANDARD TIME (EST)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL STANDARD TIME (CST)...SUBTRACT 6 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT CAPE HATTERAS 34 X 17(17) 4(21) X(21) X(21) X(21) X(21) CHERRY PT NC 34 X 6( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) NEW RIVER NC 34 X 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) MOREHEAD CITY 34 1 21(22) X(22) X(22) X(22) X(22) X(22) SURF CITY NC 34 2 14(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) WILMINGTON NC 34 X 6( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) BALD HEAD ISL 34 4 21(25) X(25) X(25) X(25) X(25) X(25) LITTLE RIVER 34 5 9(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) MYRTLE BEACH 34 8 7(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) GEORGETOWN SC 34 5 3( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) CHARLESTON SC 34 22 1(23) X(23) X(23) X(23) X(23) X(23) BEAUFORT MCAS 34 15 X(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) KINGS BAY GA 34 97 X(97) X(97) X(97) X(97) X(97) X(97) MAYPORT NS FL 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) JACKSONVILLE 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) DAYTONA BEACH 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) THE VILLAGES 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) $$ FORECASTER BROWN