000 FONT14 KNHC 120854 PWSAT4 TROPICAL STORM ETA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 48 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL292020 0900 UTC THU NOV 12 2020 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ETA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 29.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 83.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 45 KTS...50 MPH...85 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN STANDARD TIME (EST)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL STANDARD TIME (CST)...SUBTRACT 6 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT CAPE HATTERAS 34 X X( X) 11(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) MOREHEAD CITY 34 X 1( 1) 5( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) SURF CITY NC 34 X 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) BALD HEAD ISL 34 X 4( 4) 3( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) LITTLE RIVER 34 X 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) MYRTLE BEACH 34 X 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) GEORGETOWN SC 34 X 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) CHARLESTON SC 34 X 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) BEAUFORT MCAS 34 2 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) SAVANNAH GA 34 3 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) KINGS BAY GA 34 34 5(39) X(39) X(39) X(39) X(39) X(39) KINGS BAY GA 50 3 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) WAYCROSS GA 34 8 X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) MAYPORT NS FL 34 45 8(53) X(53) X(53) X(53) X(53) X(53) MAYPORT NS FL 50 4 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) JACKSONVILLE 34 43 X(43) X(43) X(43) X(43) X(43) X(43) JACKSONVILLE 50 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) GAINESVILLE FL 34 91 X(91) X(91) X(91) X(91) X(91) X(91) GAINESVILLE FL 50 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) DAYTONA BEACH 34 18 X(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) THE VILLAGES 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) ORLANDO FL 34 6 X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) COCOA BEACH FL 34 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) PATRICK AFB 34 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) TAMPA FL 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) CEDAR KEY FL 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) $$ FORECASTER BLAKE