000 FONT14 KNHC 120245 PWSAT4 TROPICAL STORM ETA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 47 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL292020 0300 UTC THU NOV 12 2020 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ETA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 28.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 83.4 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 55 KTS...65 MPH...100 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN STANDARD TIME (EST)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL STANDARD TIME (CST)...SUBTRACT 6 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT CAPE HATTERAS 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) MOREHEAD CITY 34 X X( X) 5( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) SURF CITY NC 34 X 1( 1) 4( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) BALD HEAD ISL 34 X 1( 1) 6( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) LITTLE RIVER 34 X 2( 2) 3( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) MYRTLE BEACH 34 X 2( 2) 3( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) GEORGETOWN SC 34 X 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) CHARLESTON SC 34 X 8( 8) 2(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) BEAUFORT MCAS 34 1 8( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) SAVANNAH GA 34 1 4( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) KINGS BAY GA 34 12 21(33) X(33) X(33) X(33) X(33) X(33) WAYCROSS GA 34 5 5(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) MAYPORT NS FL 34 22 22(44) X(44) X(44) X(44) X(44) X(44) MAYPORT NS FL 50 1 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) JACKSONVILLE 34 25 15(40) X(40) X(40) X(40) X(40) X(40) GAINESVILLE FL 34 88 1(89) X(89) X(89) X(89) X(89) X(89) GAINESVILLE FL 50 6 X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) DAYTONA BEACH 34 20 7(27) X(27) X(27) X(27) X(27) X(27) THE VILLAGES 34 93 1(94) X(94) X(94) X(94) X(94) X(94) THE VILLAGES 50 4 X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) ORLANDO FL 34 15 X(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) COCOA BEACH FL 34 4 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) PATRICK AFB 34 4 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) VENICE FL 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) TAMPA FL 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) TAMPA FL 50 4 X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) CEDAR KEY FL 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) CEDAR KEY FL 50 7 X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) ST MARKS FL 34 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) $$ FORECASTER PASCH