000 FONT14 KNHC 112045 PWSAT4 TROPICAL STORM ETA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 46 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL292020 2100 UTC WED NOV 11 2020 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ETA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 27.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 83.6 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 60 KTS...70 MPH...110 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN STANDARD TIME (EST)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL STANDARD TIME (CST)...SUBTRACT 6 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT SURF CITY NC 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) BALD HEAD ISL 34 X 2( 2) 1( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) LITTLE RIVER 34 X 2( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) MYRTLE BEACH 34 X 2( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) GEORGETOWN SC 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) CHARLESTON SC 34 X 5( 5) 4( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) BEAUFORT MCAS 34 1 8( 9) 4(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) SAVANNAH GA 34 1 7( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) KINGS BAY GA 34 4 44(48) 4(52) X(52) X(52) X(52) X(52) KINGS BAY GA 50 X 7( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) WAYCROSS GA 34 1 13(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) MAYPORT NS FL 34 7 48(55) 4(59) X(59) X(59) X(59) X(59) MAYPORT NS FL 50 X 10(10) 1(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) MAYPORT NS FL 64 X 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) JACKSONVILLE 34 2 46(48) 1(49) X(49) X(49) X(49) X(49) JACKSONVILLE 50 X 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) GAINESVILLE FL 34 37 43(80) X(80) X(80) X(80) X(80) X(80) GAINESVILLE FL 50 1 10(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) DAYTONA BEACH 34 8 35(43) X(43) X(43) X(43) X(43) X(43) DAYTONA BEACH 50 X 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) THE VILLAGES 34 64 19(83) X(83) X(83) X(83) X(83) X(83) THE VILLAGES 50 4 8(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) THE VILLAGES 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) ORLANDO FL 34 15 22(37) X(37) X(37) X(37) X(37) X(37) COCOA BEACH FL 34 9 10(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) PATRICK AFB 34 9 10(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) FT PIERCE FL 34 4 4( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) W PALM BEACH 34 3 3( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) FT LAUDERDALE 34 3 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) NAPLES FL 34 4 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) FT MYERS FL 34 3 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) VENICE FL 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) TAMPA FL 34 98 X(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) TAMPA FL 50 23 X(23) X(23) X(23) X(23) X(23) X(23) CEDAR KEY FL 34 90 4(94) X(94) X(94) X(94) X(94) X(94) CEDAR KEY FL 50 16 6(22) X(22) X(22) X(22) X(22) X(22) CEDAR KEY FL 64 1 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) TALLAHASSEE FL 34 1 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) ST MARKS FL 34 3 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) APALACHICOLA 34 5 2( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) GFMX 290N 850W 34 8 1( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) PANAMA CITY FL 34 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) GRAND BAHAMA 34 2 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) $$ FORECASTER STEWART