000 FONT14 KNHC 110254 PWSAT4 TROPICAL STORM ETA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 43 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL292020 0300 UTC WED NOV 11 2020 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ETA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 23.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 84.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 55 KTS...65 MPH...100 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN STANDARD TIME (EST)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL STANDARD TIME (CST)...SUBTRACT 6 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT BALD HEAD ISL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) FLORENCE SC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) COLUMBIA SC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) LITTLE RIVER 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) MYRTLE BEACH 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) GEORGETOWN SC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) CHARLESTON SC 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 4(10) X(10) BEAUFORT MCAS 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 6( 8) 4(12) X(12) ATLANTA GA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) AUGUSTA GA 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 3( 6) X( 6) SAVANNAH GA 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 6( 8) 3(11) X(11) KINGS BAY GA 34 X 2( 2) 3( 5) 5(10) 11(21) 4(25) X(25) KINGS BAY GA 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) WAYCROSS GA 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 3( 5) 6(11) 4(15) X(15) MAYPORT NS FL 34 X 3( 3) 4( 7) 6(13) 11(24) 4(28) X(28) MAYPORT NS FL 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) JACKSONVILLE 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 7( 9) 9(18) 3(21) X(21) JACKSONVILLE 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) GAINESVILLE FL 34 X 2( 2) 5( 7) 16(23) 9(32) 1(33) X(33) GAINESVILLE FL 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 3( 7) X( 7) X( 7) GAINESVILLE FL 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) DAYTONA BEACH 34 X 2( 2) 2( 4) 7(11) 8(19) 2(21) X(21) DAYTONA BEACH 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) THE VILLAGES 34 X 3( 3) 8(11) 16(27) 8(35) 2(37) X(37) THE VILLAGES 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 1( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) ORLANDO FL 34 X 3( 3) 3( 6) 8(14) 6(20) 2(22) X(22) ORLANDO FL 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) COCOA BEACH FL 34 2 4( 6) 4(10) 3(13) 3(16) 3(19) X(19) PATRICK AFB 34 2 4( 6) 4(10) 3(13) 4(17) 2(19) X(19) FT PIERCE FL 34 2 4( 6) 3( 9) 1(10) 3(13) 2(15) X(15) W PALM BEACH 34 2 4( 6) 2( 8) 1( 9) 2(11) 2(13) X(13) FT LAUDERDALE 34 2 4( 6) 2( 8) 1( 9) 1(10) 1(11) X(11) MIAMI FL 34 1 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) HOMESTEAD ARB 34 1 2( 3) X( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) MARATHON FL 34 3 4( 7) 1( 8) 1( 9) 1(10) X(10) X(10) KEY WEST FL 34 4 4( 8) 2(10) 1(11) X(11) 1(12) X(12) NAPLES FL 34 3 13(16) 6(22) 1(23) 2(25) 1(26) X(26) FT MYERS FL 34 1 6( 7) 4(11) 2(13) 1(14) 1(15) X(15) VENICE FL 34 3 34(37) 18(55) 2(57) 1(58) 2(60) X(60) VENICE FL 50 X 3( 3) 4( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) VENICE FL 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) TAMPA FL 34 3 17(20) 31(51) 8(59) 3(62) 2(64) X(64) TAMPA FL 50 X 1( 1) 7( 8) 4(12) 1(13) X(13) X(13) TAMPA FL 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) CEDAR KEY FL 34 2 6( 8) 25(33) 15(48) 5(53) 2(55) X(55) CEDAR KEY FL 50 X 1( 1) 5( 6) 6(12) 3(15) X(15) X(15) CEDAR KEY FL 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) TALLAHASSEE FL 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 3( 5) 3( 8) 2(10) X(10) ST MARKS FL 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 4( 7) 3(10) 2(12) X(12) APALACHICOLA 34 1 3( 4) 6(10) 4(14) 4(18) 2(20) X(20) GFMX 290N 850W 34 1 5( 6) 11(17) 4(21) 3(24) 1(25) X(25) GFMX 290N 850W 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) PANAMA CITY FL 34 X 4( 4) 2( 6) 3( 9) 2(11) 2(13) X(13) DESTIN EXEC AP 34 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) COLUMBUS GA 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) GFMX 290N 870W 34 1 2( 3) 2( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) 2( 8) X( 8) GFMX 280N 890W 34 X 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) GRAND BAHAMA 34 X 3( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) 1( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) CP SAN ANTONIO 34 2 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) HAVANA 34 3 3( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) ISLE OF PINES 34 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) PENSACOLA NAS 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) 1( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) $$ FORECASTER BROWN