000 FONT14 KNHC 090838 PWSAT4 TROPICAL STORM ETA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 36 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL292020 0900 UTC MON NOV 09 2020 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ETA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 25.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 82.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 55 KTS...65 MPH...100 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN STANDARD TIME (EST)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL STANDARD TIME (CST)...SUBTRACT 6 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT BALD HEAD ISL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) FLORENCE SC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) COLUMBIA SC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) LITTLE RIVER 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) MYRTLE BEACH 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) GEORGETOWN SC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) CHARLESTON SC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) BEAUFORT MCAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 6( 9) ATLANTA GA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) AUGUSTA GA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) SAVANNAH GA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 6( 9) KINGS BAY GA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 6(10) 9(19) KINGS BAY GA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) KINGS BAY GA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) WAYCROSS GA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 4( 7) 7(14) WAYCROSS GA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) MAYPORT NS FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 6(11) 9(20) MAYPORT NS FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) MAYPORT NS FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) JACKSONVILLE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 4( 7) 9(16) JACKSONVILLE 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) GAINESVILLE FL 34 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 7( 8) 7(15) 9(24) GAINESVILLE FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) GAINESVILLE FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) DAYTONA BEACH 34 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 5( 6) 5(11) 7(18) DAYTONA BEACH 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) THE VILLAGES 34 1 X( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) 9(11) 6(17) 8(25) THE VILLAGES 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) THE VILLAGES 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) ORLANDO FL 34 2 X( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) 7(10) 6(16) 8(24) ORLANDO FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 2( 3) COCOA BEACH FL 34 11 X(11) 1(12) 1(13) 8(21) 5(26) 5(31) COCOA BEACH FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) PATRICK AFB 34 11 X(11) 1(12) 1(13) 8(21) 5(26) 6(32) PATRICK AFB 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) FT PIERCE FL 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) FT PIERCE FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) W PALM BEACH 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) FT LAUDERDALE 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) MIAMI FL 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) HOMESTEAD ARB 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) MARATHON FL 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) MARATHON FL 50 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) KEY WEST FL 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) KEY WEST FL 50 77 X(77) X(77) X(77) 1(78) X(78) X(78) NAPLES FL 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) NAPLES FL 50 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 3( 4) 2( 6) 1( 7) FT MYERS FL 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) FT MYERS FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) VENICE FL 34 84 X(84) 1(85) 1(86) 3(89) 1(90) 1(91) VENICE FL 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) 4(12) 1(13) VENICE FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) TAMPA FL 34 22 2(24) 3(27) 5(32) 16(48) 7(55) 5(60) TAMPA FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 4(10) 2(12) TAMPA FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) CEDAR KEY FL 34 6 1( 7) 1( 8) 4(12) 18(30) 9(39) 8(47) CEDAR KEY FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 4( 8) 4(12) CEDAR KEY FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 2( 3) TALLAHASSEE FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 5(11) 8(19) TALLAHASSEE FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) ST MARKS FL 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 7(14) 7(21) ST MARKS FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 3( 5) APALACHICOLA 34 1 X( 1) X( 1) 3( 4) 15(19) 9(28) 7(35) APALACHICOLA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6) 3( 9) APALACHICOLA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) GFMX 290N 850W 34 5 2( 7) 1( 8) 5(13) 19(32) 9(41) 5(46) GFMX 290N 850W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 4(11) 3(14) GFMX 290N 850W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) PANAMA CITY FL 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 11(13) 8(21) 5(26) PANAMA CITY FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) 3( 6) PANAMA CITY FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) DESTIN EXEC AP 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 4( 7) 4(11) COLUMBUS GA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 3( 6) MONTGOMERY AL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) WHITING FLD FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) 3( 7) PENSACOLA FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) 2( 7) GFMX 290N 870W 34 1 X( 1) 1( 2) 3( 5) 10(15) 7(22) 4(26) GFMX 290N 870W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) GFMX 290N 870W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) MOBILE AL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) BURAS LA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) GFMX 280N 890W 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) 5( 9) 3(12) 2(14) GFMX 280N 910W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) COZUMEL MX 34 1 3( 4) 3( 7) 3(10) 1(11) X(11) X(11) GRAND BAHAMA 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) CP SAN ANTONIO 34 2 17(19) 16(35) 5(40) 3(43) X(43) 1(44) CP SAN ANTONIO 50 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) HAVANA 34 14 15(29) 13(42) 5(47) 3(50) 1(51) X(51) HAVANA 50 1 X( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) 1( 5) ISLE OF PINES 34 2 4( 6) 7(13) 4(17) 2(19) 1(20) X(20) CIENFUEGOS 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) PENSACOLA NAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 5(10) 3(13) KEESLER AB 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) 1( 6) $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI