000 FONT14 KNHC 082056 PWSAT4 TROPICAL STORM ETA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 34 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL292020 2100 UTC SUN NOV 08 2020 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ETA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 23.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 79.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 55 KTS...65 MPH...100 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN STANDARD TIME (EST)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL STANDARD TIME (CST)...SUBTRACT 6 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT MYRTLE BEACH 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) GEORGETOWN SC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) CHARLESTON SC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) BEAUFORT MCAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) AUGUSTA GA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) SAVANNAH GA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) KINGS BAY GA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) 7(14) WAYCROSS GA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 5( 9) MAYPORT NS FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 5( 8) 8(16) MAYPORT NS FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) JACKSONVILLE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) 6(12) GAINESVILLE FL 34 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 3( 4) 7(11) 8(19) GAINESVILLE FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) DAYTONA BEACH 34 X 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) 5( 8) 7(15) DAYTONA BEACH 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) THE VILLAGES 34 1 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) 4( 7) 7(14) 8(22) THE VILLAGES 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) ORLANDO FL 34 1 2( 3) X( 3) 1( 4) 3( 7) 5(12) 8(20) ORLANDO FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) COCOA BEACH FL 34 7 5(12) 1(13) X(13) 5(18) 5(23) 7(30) COCOA BEACH FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) PATRICK AFB 34 7 5(12) 1(13) X(13) 5(18) 5(23) 7(30) PATRICK AFB 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) FT PIERCE FL 34 16 5(21) 1(22) X(22) 5(27) 4(31) 5(36) FT PIERCE FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) W PALM BEACH 34 42 3(45) 1(46) X(46) 4(50) 2(52) 2(54) W PALM BEACH 50 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) FT LAUDERDALE 34 67 1(68) X(68) 1(69) 2(71) 1(72) 1(73) FT LAUDERDALE 50 1 X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) MIAMI FL 34 88 X(88) 1(89) X(89) X(89) X(89) X(89) MIAMI FL 50 2 X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) HOMESTEAD ARB 34 97 1(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) HOMESTEAD ARB 50 9 X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) 1(10) MARATHON FL 34 98 X(98) X(98) 1(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) MARATHON FL 50 67 9(76) X(76) X(76) 1(77) X(77) X(77) MARATHON FL 64 7 3(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) KEY WEST FL 34 76 18(94) X(94) 1(95) 1(96) X(96) X(96) KEY WEST FL 50 24 47(71) 1(72) X(72) 1(73) X(73) X(73) KEY WEST FL 64 3 9(12) 1(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) NAPLES FL 34 67 12(79) 1(80) 1(81) 2(83) 1(84) 1(85) NAPLES FL 50 1 4( 5) X( 5) X( 5) 3( 8) 3(11) 1(12) NAPLES FL 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) FT MYERS FL 34 28 15(43) 1(44) X(44) 4(48) 3(51) 3(54) FT MYERS FL 50 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5) VENICE FL 34 17 23(40) 2(42) 2(44) 10(54) 7(61) 4(65) VENICE FL 50 X 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) 4( 6) 5(11) 2(13) VENICE FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) TAMPA FL 34 6 9(15) 2(17) 2(19) 13(32) 10(42) 7(49) TAMPA FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 4( 7) 3(10) TAMPA FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 2( 3) CEDAR KEY FL 34 2 5( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) 12(20) 9(29) 8(37) CEDAR KEY FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) 4( 9) CEDAR KEY FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) TALLAHASSEE FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 4( 7) 5(12) ST MARKS FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 4( 8) 7(15) APALACHICOLA 34 X 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) 8(10) 7(17) 6(23) APALACHICOLA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5) APALACHICOLA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) GFMX 290N 850W 34 X 5( 5) 1( 6) 2( 8) 12(20) 9(29) 6(35) GFMX 290N 850W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6) 3( 9) GFMX 290N 850W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) PANAMA CITY FL 34 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 6( 7) 6(13) 4(17) PANAMA CITY FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) DESTIN EXEC AP 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) 2( 6) COLUMBUS GA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) WHITING FLD FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) PENSACOLA FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) GFMX 290N 870W 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) 7(10) 5(15) 3(18) GFMX 280N 890W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 4( 6) 3( 9) 1(10) COZUMEL MX 34 X 1( 1) 5( 6) 4(10) 3(13) X(13) 1(14) GRAND BAHAMA 34 19 3(22) X(22) X(22) 1(23) 3(26) 3(29) NEW PROVIDENCE 34 11 1(12) X(12) X(12) 1(13) 1(14) 1(15) ANDROS 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) GREAT EXUMA 34 2 X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) CP SAN ANTONIO 34 1 3( 4) 23(27) 17(44) 6(50) X(50) 1(51) CP SAN ANTONIO 50 X X( X) 5( 5) 4( 9) 3(12) X(12) X(12) CP SAN ANTONIO 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) HAVANA 34 4 21(25) 6(31) 11(42) 5(47) 1(48) 1(49) HAVANA 50 X 4( 4) 1( 5) 1( 6) 2( 8) X( 8) X( 8) ISLE OF PINES 34 1 4( 5) 5(10) 7(17) 5(22) 1(23) X(23) CIENFUEGOS 34 1 1( 2) X( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) PENSACOLA NAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6) 2( 8) KEESLER AB 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) $$ FORECASTER STEWART