000 FONT14 KNHC 012052 PWSAT4 TROPICAL STORM ETA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 5 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL292020 2100 UTC SUN NOV 01 2020 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ETA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 78.9 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 55 KTS...65 MPH...100 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN STANDARD TIME (EST)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL STANDARD TIME (CST)...SUBTRACT 6 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT FRONTERA MX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) MERIDA MX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) COZUMEL MX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 3( 5) BELIZE CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 8(14) 5(19) BELIZE CITY 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 3( 6) BELIZE CITY 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) PUERTO BARRIOS 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 4( 7) 7(14) 6(20) PUERTO BARRIOS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5) PUERTO BARRIOS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) GUANAJA 34 X 5( 5) 4( 9) 7(16) 9(25) 5(30) 3(33) GUANAJA 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 3( 8) 3(11) GUANAJA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) 2( 6) PUERTO CABEZAS 34 1 29(30) 44(74) 9(83) 5(88) X(88) 1(89) PUERTO CABEZAS 50 X 3( 3) 36(39) 13(52) 4(56) 1(57) X(57) PUERTO CABEZAS 64 X X( X) 11(11) 12(23) 3(26) X(26) X(26) BLUEFIELDS 34 X 3( 3) 5( 8) 12(20) 8(28) 1(29) 1(30) BLUEFIELDS 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 3( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) BLUEFIELDS 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) SAN ANDRES 34 3 9(12) 13(25) 6(31) 4(35) 1(36) X(36) SAN ANDRES 50 X 1( 1) 4( 5) 2( 7) 3(10) X(10) X(10) SAN ANDRES 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) LIMON 34 X 2( 2) 3( 5) 2( 7) 3(10) X(10) 1(11) GRAND CAYMAN 34 3 3( 6) 1( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) MONTEGO BAY 34 3 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) KINGSTON 34 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) $$ FORECASTER BROWN