035 FONT14 KNHC 240856 PWSAT4 TROPICAL STORM MARCO WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 16 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142020 0900 UTC MON AUG 24 2020 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM MARCO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 27.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 88.2 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 50 KTS...60 MPH...95 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT GULFPORT MS 34 1 4( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) STENNIS MS 34 1 9(10) X(10) 1(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) BURAS LA 34 13 37(50) X(50) X(50) X(50) X(50) X(50) BURAS LA 50 1 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) GFMX 280N 890W 34 46 2(48) X(48) X(48) X(48) X(48) X(48) GFMX 280N 890W 50 6 X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) NEW ORLEANS LA 34 1 26(27) 3(30) X(30) X(30) X(30) X(30) GFMX 280N 910W 34 X 4( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) BATON ROUGE LA 34 X 8( 8) 7(15) 1(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) MORGAN CITY LA 34 X 23(23) 10(33) X(33) X(33) X(33) X(33) MORGAN CITY LA 50 X 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) ALEXANDRIA LA 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) LAFAYETTE LA 34 X 4( 4) 12(16) 2(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) NEW IBERIA LA 34 X 6( 6) 12(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) FORT POLK LA 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) LAKE CHARLES 34 X X( X) 8( 8) 3(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) CAMERON LA 34 X 1( 1) 10(11) 6(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) JASPER TX 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) KOUNTZE TX 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 6( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) PORT ARTHUR TX 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 6( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) GALVESTON TX 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) HOUSTON TX 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) HIGH ISLAND TX 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) MATAGORDA TX 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) KEESLER AB 34 1 4( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) $$ FORECASTER BLAKE