000 FONT14 KNHC 301448 PWSAT4 TROPICAL STORM HARVEY WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 41 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092017 1500 UTC WED AUG 30 2017 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM HARVEY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 30.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 93.3 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 40 KTS...45 MPH...75 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT JACKSON MS 34 1 6( 7) 2( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) BATON ROUGE LA 34 6 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) MORGAN CITY LA 34 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) ALEXANDRIA LA 34 56 2(58) X(58) X(58) X(58) X(58) X(58) LAFAYETTE LA 34 19 X(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) NEW IBERIA LA 34 9 1(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) SHREVEPORT LA 34 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) FORT POLK LA 34 41 X(41) X(41) X(41) X(41) X(41) X(41) LAKE CHARLES 34 95 X(95) X(95) X(95) X(95) X(95) X(95) CAMERON LA 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) JASPER TX 34 13 X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) KOUNTZE TX 34 26 X(26) X(26) X(26) X(26) X(26) X(26) PORT ARTHUR TX 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) $$ FORECASTER BEVEN