000 FONT14 KNHC 300253 PWSAT4 TROPICAL STORM HARVEY WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 39 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092017 0300 UTC WED AUG 30 2017 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM HARVEY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 29.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 93.6 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 45 KTS...50 MPH...85 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT BIRMINGHAM AL 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) MOBILE AL 34 1 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) GULFPORT MS 34 2 1( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) STENNIS MS 34 4 2( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) BURAS LA 34 5 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) JACKSON MS 34 1 3( 4) 11(15) 2(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) NEW ORLEANS LA 34 9 2(11) 1(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) GFMX 280N 910W 34 13 X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) BATON ROUGE LA 34 21 7(28) 1(29) X(29) X(29) X(29) X(29) MORGAN CITY LA 34 29 3(32) 1(33) X(33) X(33) X(33) X(33) ALEXANDRIA LA 34 13 13(26) 3(29) X(29) X(29) X(29) X(29) LAFAYETTE LA 34 50 11(61) X(61) X(61) X(61) X(61) X(61) LAFAYETTE LA 50 2 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) NEW IBERIA LA 34 52 8(60) X(60) X(60) X(60) X(60) X(60) NEW IBERIA LA 50 1 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) GFMX 280N 930W 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) SHREVEPORT LA 34 1 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) FORT POLK LA 34 16 6(22) 1(23) X(23) X(23) X(23) X(23) LAKE CHARLES 34 54 3(57) 1(58) X(58) X(58) X(58) X(58) LAKE CHARLES 50 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) CAMERON LA 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) CAMERON LA 50 4 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) JASPER TX 34 8 2(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) KOUNTZE TX 34 10 1(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) PORT ARTHUR TX 34 26 1(27) X(27) X(27) X(27) X(27) X(27) GALVESTON TX 34 9 1(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) HOUSTON TX 34 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) FREEPORT TX 34 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) GFMX 280N 950W 34 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) HIGH ISLAND TX 34 32 X(32) X(32) X(32) X(32) X(32) X(32) $$ FORECASTER BROWN