000 FONT14 KNHC 090248 PWSAT4 HURRICANE MATTHEW WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 44 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142016 0300 UTC SUN OCT 09 2016 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE MATTHEW WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 34.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 76.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 65 KTS...75 MPH...120 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT CAPE HENLOPEN 34 3 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) OCEAN CITY MD 34 4 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) PAX RIVER NAS 34 3 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) WALLOPS CDA 34 4 2( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) RICHMOND VA 34 3 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) DANVILLE VA 34 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) NORFOLK NAS 34 5 2( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) NORFOLK VA 34 6 2( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) OCEANA NAS VA 34 6 3( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) ELIZABETH CTY 34 12 2(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) GREENSBORO NC 34 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) RALEIGH NC 34 4 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) ROCKY MT NC 34 5 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) CAPE HATTERAS 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) CAPE HATTERAS 50 29 X(29) X(29) X(29) X(29) X(29) X(29) CAPE HATTERAS 64 4 X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) FAYETTEVILLE 34 5 X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) CHERRY PT NC 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) CHERRY PT NC 50 4 X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) NEW RIVER NC 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) NEW RIVER NC 50 89 X(89) X(89) X(89) X(89) X(89) X(89) NEW RIVER NC 64 7 X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) MOREHEAD CITY 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) MOREHEAD CITY 50 86 X(86) X(86) X(86) X(86) X(86) X(86) MOREHEAD CITY 64 4 X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) SURF CITY NC 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) SURF CITY NC 50 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) WILMINGTON NC 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) BALD HEAD ISL 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) BALD HEAD ISL 50 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) BALD HEAD ISL 64 1 X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) FLORENCE SC 34 4 X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) LITTLE RIVER 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) MYRTLE BEACH 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) GEORGETOWN SC 34 5 X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) CHARLESTON SC 34 4 X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) BEAUFORT MCAS 34 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) $$ FORECASTER BEVEN