000 FONT14 KNHC 282050 PWSAT4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 1 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092016 2100 UTC SUN AUG 28 2016 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 23.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 81.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT ELIZABETH CTY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) RALEIGH NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) ROCKY MT NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) CAPE HATTERAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) FAYETTEVILLE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) CHARLOTTE NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) CHERRY PT NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) NEW RIVER NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) MOREHEAD CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) SURF CITY NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) WILMINGTON NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) BALD HEAD ISL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) FLORENCE SC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) COLUMBIA SC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) LITTLE RIVER 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) MYRTLE BEACH 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) GEORGETOWN SC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) CHARLESTON SC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 8(10) BEAUFORT MCAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 9(12) ATLANTA GA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) AUGUSTA GA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 6( 8) SAVANNAH GA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 9(13) KINGS BAY GA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 11(17) KINGS BAY GA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) WAYCROSS GA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 9(16) WAYCROSS GA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) MAYPORT NS FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 12(18) MAYPORT NS FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) JACKSONVILLE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 11(18) JACKSONVILLE 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) GAINESVILLE FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 9(10) 11(21) GAINESVILLE FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) DAYTONA BEACH 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 9(15) THE VILLAGES 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 7( 9) 7(16) ORLANDO FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) 7(14) COCOA BEACH FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 6(11) PATRICK AFB 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 6(11) FT PIERCE FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 5( 9) W PALM BEACH 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 3( 7) FT LAUDERDALE 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5) MIAMI FL 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5) MARATHON FL 34 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5) KEY WEST FL 34 1 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) 3( 6) X( 6) NAPLES FL 34 X 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) 4( 8) 2(10) FT MYERS FL 34 X 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) 5( 9) 2(11) VENICE FL 34 X 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) 3( 5) 7(12) 3(15) TAMPA FL 34 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 4( 5) 8(13) 5(18) TAMPA FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) CEDAR KEY FL 34 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 3( 4) 11(15) 7(22) CEDAR KEY FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) TALLAHASSEE FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 9(12) 7(19) TALLAHASSEE FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) ST MARKS FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 10(14) 7(21) ST MARKS FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) APALACHICOLA 34 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 7( 8) 13(21) 5(26) APALACHICOLA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 1( 5) GFMX 290N 850W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 8(11) 15(26) 4(30) GFMX 290N 850W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 2( 7) GFMX 290N 850W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) PANAMA CITY FL 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) 12(20) 4(24) PANAMA CITY FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) COLUMBUS GA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 4( 8) MONTGOMERY AL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 3( 8) WHITING FLD FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 8(13) 2(15) WHITING FLD FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) PENSACOLA FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 8(14) 2(16) PENSACOLA FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) GFMX 290N 870W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 13(17) 13(30) 3(33) GFMX 290N 870W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) X( 6) GFMX 290N 870W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) MOBILE AL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 5(10) 2(12) GULFPORT MS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 4( 9) 2(11) STENNIS MS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 3( 8) 2(10) BURAS LA 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 6( 8) 5(13) 2(15) GFMX 280N 890W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 14(19) 7(26) 1(27) GFMX 280N 890W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 3( 7) X( 7) GFMX 280N 890W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) NEW ORLEANS LA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 3( 7) 1( 8) GFMX 280N 910W 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 6( 8) 2(10) 1(11) BATON ROUGE LA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) MORGAN CITY LA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) 1( 6) LAFAYETTE LA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) NEW IBERIA LA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) GFMX 280N 930W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) GRAND BAHAMA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) CP SAN ANTONIO 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) HAVANA 34 1 1( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) $$ FORECASTER BRENNAN