000 FONT14 KNHC 231435 PWSAT4 TROPICAL STORM DANNY WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 21 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042015 1500 UTC SUN AUG 23 2015 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM DANNY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 57.3 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 45 KTS...50 MPH...85 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN STANDARD TIME (EST)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL STANDARD TIME (CST)...SUBTRACT 6 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT MAYAGUANA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) GRAND TURK 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) CAMAGUEY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) GUANTANAMO BAY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) X( 6) LES CAYES 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) PORT-AU-PRINCE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) CAPE BEATA 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) PUERTO PLATA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) SANTO DOMINGO 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 9(11) X(11) X(11) PONCE 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 8(10) 3(13) X(13) X(13) SAN JUAN 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 5( 8) 2(10) X(10) X(10) SAINT THOMAS 34 X X( X) 4( 4) 3( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) SAINT CROIX 34 X 1( 1) 8( 9) 4(13) 1(14) X(14) X(14) SAINT MAARTEN 34 X 2( 2) 4( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) ST KITTS-NEVIS 34 X 8( 8) 9(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) BARBUDA 34 X 9( 9) 2(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) ANTIGUA 34 X 18(18) 2(20) X(20) X(20) X(20) X(20) GUADELOUPE 34 1 24(25) 1(26) X(26) X(26) X(26) X(26) GUADELOUPE 50 X 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) AVES 34 X 1( 1) 4( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) DOMINICA 34 X 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) $$ FORECASTER PASCH