000 FONT14 KNHC 230852 PWSAT4 TROPICAL STORM DANNY WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 20 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042015 0900 UTC SUN AUG 23 2015 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM DANNY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 56.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 45 KTS...50 MPH...85 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN STANDARD TIME (EST)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL STANDARD TIME (CST)...SUBTRACT 6 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT MAYAGUANA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) X( 6) GRAND TURK 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 4( 9) X( 9) GUANTANAMO BAY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) LES CAYES 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) PORT-AU-PRINCE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) CAPE BEATA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) PUERTO PLATA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 2( 7) X( 7) SANTO DOMINGO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) PONCE 34 X X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 5(11) X(11) X(11) SAN JUAN 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 5(12) X(12) X(12) SAINT THOMAS 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 8(10) 3(13) X(13) X(13) SAINT CROIX 34 X X( X) 4( 4) 8(12) 1(13) X(13) X(13) SAINT MAARTEN 34 X 1( 1) 7( 8) 3(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) ST KITTS-NEVIS 34 X 2( 2) 13(15) 2(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) BARBUDA 34 X 4( 4) 10(14) X(14) 1(15) X(15) X(15) ANTIGUA 34 X 6( 6) 12(18) 1(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) GUADELOUPE 34 X 7( 7) 8(15) 1(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) AVES 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) DOMINICA 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) $$ FORECASTER STEWART